No Minister

FROM INSIDE THE BELTWAY

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St Jacinda promised the big announcement on Ihumatao in time for Waitangi Day.   Word is that is being stymied by WRP who has declined sign-off knowing, if he did, it would be another nail in the coffin of NZ First.   Labour is hard at work trying to stitch together a creative option that would allow WRP to claim no public monies as being involved.   Creative being the operative word.

And word from Labour Party sources has it that, following the Simon Bridges announcement that National has ditched working with NZ First, there is a rethink going on re the Te Tai Tokerau seat where Kelvin Davis has been confirmed as Labour’s candidate.

Labour knows that the only scenario for National to regain the treasury benches is one where National+Act+the wasted vote gets them over the line.   Equally Labour could get back in under a Labour+Green+wasted vote scenario.    The question now is does Labour try to lock in victory by gifting NZ First a seat and, if so, what seat.  Northland may have been an option before the Bridges’ announcement; now with National able to campaign that a vote for NZ First is a vote for Labour their chances of winning that seat are very much reduced.   Its National Party territory.   Attention has now turned to TTT with Davis to go List only giving Jones a clear run and a guaranteed NZF seat.   That is being opposed by Labour’s Maori caucus.

I suspect there is more water to flow under the bridge (no pun) and a couple of more polls before any final decision is made.    Were I a betting person I would put money on Labour running a party vote campaign only in Northland to give Jones a shot but will shed no tears if he looses and NZF fails to make it back into parliament.

Updated 14.07 … Jones has just announced he is to contest the Northland seat (as the proxy Labour Party candidate 😈)    But remember always … a week in politics is a long time.

Written by The Veteran

February 5, 2020 at 10:35 pm

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