No Minister

Chinese Xi Snot Risk Calculations

with 4 comments

Here’s fun to while away the time in lockdown.

A website set up by Oxford University: QCovid Risk Assessment.

You have to scroll down the first page and hit the ACCEPT button for the license to use the software, but after that it’s a matter of punching in your age, weight, health factors and so forth.

It uses British data of course, including stuff on your location but aside from a couple of factors the rest should apply here if you’re not of Maori or Pacific Island descent (obviously Britain would not have a lot of Covid data for those demographics)

There’s also this disclaimer

PLEASE NOTE: This implementation of the QCovid risk calculator is NOT intended for use supporting or informing clinical decision-making. It is ONLY to be used for academic research, peer review and validation purposes, and it must NOT be used with data or information relating to any individual. 

I wonder how long they’ll leave this site up, since obviously individuals will do what I and other have done here.

Running my data through the system I find that my risks from Covid-19 are as follows:

SICKNESSDEATH
1 chance in 11641 chance in 6211

In other words in a crowd of 10,000 people with the same risk factors as me, 2 are likely to catch and die from COVID-19 and 10 to be admitted to hospital during a 90 day period similar to the recent peak in Britain.

Of course the data is changing all the time as more is learned.

Still, I should probably be hiding under the bed with a mask on.

You can’t be too careful

Written by Tom Hunter

September 11, 2021 at 1:50 pm

4 Responses

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  1. Adolf is ranked 94 our of 100 where 100 is maximum risk.

    Better have another scotch.

    adolffinkensen

    September 11, 2021 at 2:45 pm

  2. I got 1/1473 and 1/9901. I guess I don’t need that vaccination then…

    uncoffined

    September 11, 2021 at 2:58 pm

  3. OMG if this goes on much longer if the Covid don’t get me I am going to be wishing it had

    Andrei

    September 11, 2021 at 3:13 pm


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