According to those who still pay attention to the NZ MSM, Chris Bishop – National’s Covid-19 Response spokesman – said on some TV program a few weeks ago that children will need to be vaccinated soon. In this he was merely parroting what we’ve been hearing from the government for a while now.

In the USA Pfizer, after weeks of pressing for children from 5-11 to be vaccinated, finally got the FDA to agree, though it is only “emergency” use.

What emergency is that? I’d like to think it’s for kids who have health problems that Covid-19 might take advantage of. But I suspect the fear pornography will be ramped up again to include all kids.

For example, did you know that 900,000 children were hospitalised with Xi Snot Virus on the USA in the last year, according to the New York Time’s dedicated Covid reporter?

At least they issued a correction, but what confidence can you have in such a reporter who can’t even get a basic count correct?

Of course the really important numbers would be how many of those 63,000 had other health problems, how many got severely ill, and how many died. The latter at least we know: 700 since the onset of Alpha, (to Nov 11) out of a nation of 330 million. Annualised it’s about 400.

Based on those figures, it would seem that New Zealand might have around 6 children under the age of18 die from Covid-19.

Each year about 100 children die from unintentional injury.

“Thinking that everyone must be vaccinated is as scientifically flawed as thinking that nobody should. COVID vaccines are important for older high-risk people, and their care-takers. Those with prior natural infection do not need it. Nor children.”

What fringe nutter said that? What weirdo website came up this guy?

Dr. Martin Kulldorff is a professor of medicine at Harvard Medical School and a biostatistician and epidemiologist at the Brigham and Women’s Hospital. He helped develop the CDC’s current system for monitoring potential vaccine risks.

A Harvard Medical School colleague specializing in drug and vaccine safety research, Jeffrey Brown, said that Kulldorff is a “world-class” vaccine safety “superstar,” “His qualifications are spectacular,…He’s an international expert in vaccine safety. No one on earth would question whether he’s qualified. … He’s a pioneer.”

Okay. So what about the claims that the children will spread the virus, even if they don’t get sick and die from it? After all, even the great Dr Fauci has made this claim (yes, I know his history of bullshit and flip-flops):

The lecture took place shortly after the UK’s Joint Committee on Vaccination and Immunisation (JCVI) decided not to recommend vaccinating all children between the ages of 12 and 15 years old for COVID-19 after a risk-benefit analysis. 

During the lecture, Fauci discussed why he felt it was important to vaccinate children… Fauci referred to children as “vehicles of spread.”

Fauci discussed hospitalizations among children in the Southeast during the Delta surge. He said, “We are almost overrun. We have a lot of children in hospitals now. So even though, relatively speaking, compared to an adult they don’t get as seriously ill. We have lost more children from SARS-CoV-2 than we ever lose for influenza — and we vaccinate children against influenza.”

That was two months ago and even then the data did not support his claims:

First, the Southeast was experiencing a surge in the Delta variant while it had an offseason spike in respiratory syncytial virus (RSV)According to the CDC, 58,000 children under the age of five are hospitalized for RSV annually and the symptoms are very similar to COVID-19. The CDC’s Associated Hospital Surveillance Network (COVID-NET) collects age-specific hospitalization data for COVID-19. Through September 11, 2021, the week with the highest number of hospitalizations for children under 18 during the Delta wave, 117 children in its network were hospitalized with COVID-19. The network includes Georgia, which Fauci cited specifically in his lecture. If pediatric beds were full, they were not filled with COVID-19-positive children even, if all 117 were in Georgia.

As regards child transmission:

There is no data to indicate that children transmit COVID-19 to adults at greater rates than they did early in the pandemic. An early genetic study in Iceland found that transmission almost always went from adults to children. We should study whether Delta changes that pattern. We should not assume (in order to justify vaccinating children) that because Delta is more transmissible, it has changed the pattern

We know that cases fell in schools in the UK during the Delta surge. Rates of transmission were lower in schools than in the surrounding community despite there being no masking requirements. No one knows why this was the case. It could be due to the twice-a-week testing requirement, the overall seroprevalence due to asymptomatic infections in children earlier in the pandemic, or the lower transmission rates for children. We should probably find out.

Fauci did not know what he was talking about.

This also came just after his public claims about booster shots blew up in his face. Fauci said that the third dose of the vaccine would provide maximum immunity and, along with President Biden, set the expectation that all vaccinated Americans would be eligible for a booster shot. Millions of Americans probably believed him.

Then the FDA voted against recommending COVID-19 booster shots for all Americans 16 and older. The vote was based on the clinical data and a risk-benefit analysis, and was not even close, with 16 voting against and only two voting for the broad-based booster. Fauci promptly did what he’s best at and scrambled to walk back his words by going on five Sunday talk shows.

The FDA discussions made public were an alert in themselves when it comes to kids:

Doran Fink, M.D., deputy director of the clinical side of the FDA’s Division of Vaccines and Related Products Applications, provided some insight into the frequency of myocarditis. The highest reporting rate in the Vaccine Adverse Event Reporting System (VAERS) is for young men between the ages of 16 and 17. Health claims data in the U.S. show an incidence of approximately 1:5,000, largely following the second dose of an mRNA vaccine. Israel, which has electronic medical records to base reports on, shows a rate of 1:6,000. Fink stressed that there is no data on the risk of myocarditis and pericarditis following the third dose in any age group.

Dr. Arnold Monto, the acting committee chair, asked Fink if it was possible to determine at what age the side effect ceased to be a problem. Fink’s complete answer was astonishing.

“If you look at the healthcare claims data, you see that there is evidence of some attributable risk at all age groups, although, the older you get, the higher the risk of complications from COVID that offset the risk of myocarditis. So, when you look at the balances of risk versus benefit, what we really start to see is risk of myocarditis being higher [than COVID-19] in males under age 40.”

The following is an FDA chart on the benefits and risks of child vaccinations, and the tradeoff between ICU stays for COVID and ICU stays for myocarditis and pericarditis. The numbers for 5 – 11 year-old boys jumps out at you.

Incidently, before the claim is made that these are all “pandemics in the unvaccinated”, people should read this new analysis published in the European Journal of Epidemiology that shows no discernible relationship between the proportions of populations fully vaccinated and new Covid-19 cases.

Or you could address the study published by the CDC that refutes the common claim that COVID-19 is a “pandemic of the unvaccinated.” Coauthored by more than 50 MDs and Ph.D.’s, the study contains data on the vaccine status of adults hospitalized with COVID-19 at 21 U.S. hospitals across 18 states from March to August of 2021. This article takes a look at it and the British figures, which are more detailed.

the study found that 13% of patients hospitalized with C-19 had been fully vaccinated. Moreover, that 13% figure is just the tip of the iceberg because the authors excluded from their study a large group of hospitalized C-19 patients, the bulk of whom were likely vaccinated.

About half of the omitted group and 27% of the C-19 patients in these hospitals were people with “immunocompromising conditions,” such as cancer, HIV, rheumatoid arthritis, psoriasis, scleroderma, and Crohn’s disease. In the words of an FDA official and 18 other coauthors published in a medical journal, “immunocompromised individuals” were “prioritized for early immunization” and are “plausibly more likely to be offered and seek vaccination” because they are highly vulnerable to C-19.

The authors of the CDC study also excluded another 25% of all people hospitalized with C-19 because they were partially vaccinated, “received a COVID-19 vaccine other than Moderna, Pfizer-BioNTech, or Janssen [J&J],” or “received doses of two different COVID-19 vaccine products.”

Meantime from the British National Health Care system came this:

Filling the gap left by the vagueness of the CDC’s study, a precise measure of the vaccine status of people who died from the COVID-19 Delta variant is available from the United Kingdom, where the government keeps detailed healthcare records on nearly all citizens. Relevantly, the U.S. and U.K. have very similar C-19 death rates and had roughly equivalent vaccination rates over the period of the CDC study.

In the U.K. from February through August 2021, 62% of all COVID-19 Delta variant deaths were among the fully vaccinated. This amounts to a conclusive majority in a dataset with virtually every death included.

The article also contains a detailed list of the MSM sites and articles that pushed the claim and analysis of why there data was so misleading – and likely still is, since I’ve not heard any of this being walked back by them.

The story behind the talking point that COVID-19 is “a pandemic of the unvaccinated” is a textbook case of how false statistics are born and proliferate. Hence, it provides valuable insights into the dangers of blind trust and how to recognize deceitful rhetoric.

Perhaps somebody should ask the people at the Podium Of Truth whether NZ is, at a minimum, buying monoclonal antibody treatments? Some questions about vaccinating kids would be nice as well and although I was heartened by finding this Stuff article – Should we vaccinate kids? – it’s swamped by the alternative Narrative:

“Then for other children in the 5-11-year-old age group, you really have to put a high premium on ensuring safety. Because we know that once you’ve excluded that probably 2 or 3 per cent of children with severe other problems, then the rest of the children, the chance of them getting even more than a cold or something they may not even notice, is really very small.” – Peter McIntyre. Otago University professor of women’s and children’s health,