No Minister

THE POLL

with 9 comments

The latest TV1 poll was interesting but I don’t read too much into it except perhaps that it reinforces the old adage that governments tend to lose elections rather than oppositions winning them.

But its clear the gloss is certainly wearing off both Labour and St Jacinda while support for National continues to rise at the expense of ACT (this was always going to happen once the caucus elected a credible leader and erstwhile National voters who defected to ACT returned home) and NZ First and, to a lesser extent, from Labour.

But perhaps the most interesting thing for me was the findings on the economic outlook. The question … ‘Do you think that in twelve months time the economy will be in a better or worse shape than it is at present’. The answer … Better – 22% (42% Mar 21); Same 29% (no change); Worse 49% (29%). That will have the government worried … perception can have an impact on decision making.

And perhaps allied with that and did anyone else find it strange the decision to conduct the poll over the period 22-26 Jan when ‘they’ knew full well the inflation numbers were due to be announced the next day? Had polling continued through to 27 Jan then it would have been interesting to see the impact of the inflation figure at 5.9% exceeding many expectations. And St Jacinda’s response … all o’seas driven. Well sorry dearie … your non grasp of economics 101 is showing. The effect of QE (printing money) that you embraced with open arms is coming back to bite. Spending ones way to prosperity is a fiction … there always is a reckoning and now you’re seeing it.

Written by The Veteran

January 28, 2022 at 1:44 pm

9 Responses

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  1. Right on every count, Veteran. I read one report that 1,000 people took part, 500 online and 500 by mobile. That excludes several sections of the community and weights it towards others. But the trend is there. Nice* to see Lazarus rising, let’s hope he gets to 4.9% and no more. * not. Sensible Labour voters, of whom there are some, might balk at National but they just might vote ACT. The important thing is to get into government and keep b……… Winston out of parliament.

    Cassandra

    January 28, 2022 at 1:58 pm

  2. Cassandra … you’ve lost me re ‘Lazarus rising’. NZF polled 2%, a drop of 1% … and long may that continue.

    The Veteran

    January 28, 2022 at 2:15 pm

    • He was once on 0.5%. He’ll be 2 or 3 next election. 2. I was being facetious. I am appalled by the idea that a dishonest charlatan was once the Great White Hope or something like that.

      Cassandra

      January 29, 2022 at 9:30 pm

  3. If inflation is caused by overseas factors then I’ll need a freezer to cook fish and chips.

    adolffinkensen

    January 28, 2022 at 2:27 pm

  4. Good to note that Act is not losing votes to National, but rather he is annoying his libertarian voters with his support for vax mandates. I hope he is aware of this.

    Sittingbull

    January 28, 2022 at 4:48 pm

    • Somewhat disillusion SB. So prey tell me where they’ve gone. To Labour …buLLabour’s down. To NZF … but they’re down too. To the Greens … give me a break. To don’t know … steady. ..The reality is that part of the rise for National are National voters who defected to ACT returning to the fold. But both National and ACT need to continue to shake loose Labour swing voters. Shouldn’t be too difficult with the countries economic prospects going south. Re mandates … are you aware that on 27 October National announced support for the ending of mandates once the country had achieved 90% double vaxed. But actually that’s noise. Labour enjoys an absolute majority in the House = unbridled power. They will do what they want to do and there is nothing that National/ACT can do to change that up until Sep 23..

      The Veteran

      January 28, 2022 at 8:24 pm

  5. Yes, there is always a reckoning, but lets be honest here, Jacinda and her mob of elites won’t see or be affected by it. So they couldn’t care less.
    As Mallard tweeted his disappointment that his local supermarket didn’t have any flavourless salmon filets left (huh?), the lowly downtodden could hardly feed their family on the basics.
    This Govt and its sycophantic fanbase has a very “let them eat cake” appearance.

    Andrew

    January 28, 2022 at 5:20 pm

  6. The main (and probably only) overseas factor is the disruption of the globalist supply chain causing scarcity and higher prices for basic household items. The other main factor is printing money and giving it to the public rather than to banks and corporations which is the main reason that we are seeing inflation that we did not see after the GFC in 2008-09.

    fredonas

    January 28, 2022 at 5:30 pm

  7. The good thing is that the downward trend of Labour is maintained.

    If their favoured Pollster, Reids, comes in next at about the same and Roy Morgan probably next week does too there may well be more foul language and tantrums on the 9th floor.

    pdm1946

    January 28, 2022 at 5:33 pm


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