I hate to say this but I doubt the latest protests in Iran will even affect its tyrannical government very much, let alone get rid of it.
Still, at least in their public pronouncements the Ayatollah and company have sounded more circumspect than before, almost certainly because they have no idea how to deal with protests that consist mainly of women and don’t appear to have leaders that can be picked off.
At the street level of course it’s a different matter. Hundreds have died, many of them from simply having their skulls crushed, either by the Police or the motorbike-riding thugs hired out of the Republican Guard.
Still, this is impressive to see.
The schoolgirls joining the protests doesn’t mean that authorities are going to get squeamish about spilling the blood of little girls. It means that the government’s truncheons and bullets hold little fear for people who have reached the limit of their tolerance for being treated like cattle.
The threat posed by these protesters is existential to the regime though. Iran’s birth rate has collapsed after three decades of being low. The nation, more than most, will soon be running out of young thugs.
“These are primarily very, very young people, a younger generation who have apparently completely lost faith that this Islamic Republic can be reformed…They’re breaking from their previous generation who was seeking to reform the system from within…. This new generation seems to not have any faith in that at all.”
Sounds familiar.
And now oil workers have joined the protests. That’s going to really hurt the regime.
The contract workers in Iran’s oil industry “warned” the government that if “the arrests, the killing of people, the oppression and harassment of women because of the hijab, and the oppression of the people do not end”, they will not remain silent and “join all the people”.
It would be nice if they got support from Biden and company, but it looks like their desire for resurrecting the stupid nuclear deal exceeds anything else.
Looking at New Zealand, Switzerland, Germany, the EU etc the ayatollahs will be sorry if they give in.
Media in Iran is tightly controlled. These are the images allowed to get out. I don’t think the people of Iran will want to become host to a US MacDonald’s franchise plague after battling 40 years of US led antagonism. Perhaps they have revolutionary fatigue and need freshening up. I expect the Ayatollah will clamp down firmly, having allowed the mini turmoil in the first place, winning support. Check back in 3 months.
Media, but not Social Media so much. It’s the flip side of using modern technology of course which even Iran has found it has to do to operate. By their very nature, smartphones and their apps like Instagram, Snapchat and a host of others, cannot be controlled short of shutting down cellphone towers, and even then it’s going to get out.
So no, these are not the images that are “allowed” to get out. The Iranian government doesn’t have that degree of control and couldn’t even if they were orders-of-magnitude more competent than they are.
And it isn’t just the USA who is “antagonistic” towards the bastards. I am too, to the extent that if every Mullah got put up against a wall and shot I’d cheer.
interestingly, the number of men around in Iran will also be low because of the Iran/Iraq war.
The other notable thing is that women are very much in the frontline with regards to resistance to the mandates here in NZ. for example, the Wellington protest was 55% female.
As Mark Steyn, said in his book America Alone, the way to reforming Islam is by supporting women’s rights in Islamic countries. Proper women’s rights, not the feminist pieties offered up by the usual land-whales and bull-dykes in Western countries.
Things continue to develop: