A week out from the US Mid-Term elections it appears there is a more than even chance that the Republicans will take control of the House allowing them to set the legislative agenda. The real focus is however on the Senate. If the Democrats maintain their control (exercised as it is right now through the vote of the Vice-President) then they would be in a position to frustrate any legislation placed before it by Republicans. Conversely, should the Republicans make a net gain of just one seat in the Senate then Biden becomes even more of a lame-duck President than he already his.

A little while back my good friend Tom H and I had a double or quits bet on the Senate result with Tom predicting a Republican win. I’m away from home next week but on Wednesday night I will be watching closely three races which I think will likely determine the outcome … Pennsylvania, Georgia and Nevada.

My prediction is that in Pennsylvania Oz (R) will defeat Fetterman (D) with the Republicans retaining the seat. The state of Fetterman’s health remains a big question especially after his performance in recent debates. In Georgia I see Warner (D) defeating Walker (R) with the Democrats retaining the seat … Walker’s private life may come back to bite him in the bum. But for me the super interesting race is Nevada and I’m picking here for the Republicans to flip the seat with Laxalt (R) defeating CortezMasto (D) with the state of the economy the determining factor.

If those three races play out the way I think they might and no other seats change hands then the Republicans will win the Senate but that’s a lot of ifs and maybes.

Still, right now Tom H is in the drivers seat and I wish him well (sort of). Time will tell.