Here is their February Poll.

National 30.5%

ACT 11.0%

NZFirst 6.0%

Total 47.5%

Labour 29.0%

Greens 15.5%

Maori Party 3.0%

Total 47.5%

Other 5.0%

Although it does not seem to be stated by Roy Morgan my understanding is that if The Maori Party retain the 6 Maori Electorate seats then the overhang would favour the Coalition from hell being Labour/Greens/Maori.

By the same token if the Maori Party lost all of the Maori Electorate Seats they would be out of Parliament and a National/ACT/NZFirst coalition would prevail.

What say you.

Here is a link to the full Roy Morgan Post.

https://www.roymorgan.com/findings/9863-nz-national-voting-intention-february-2025