Geoff Neal at The Facts is a very good analyst – here he is on the Treaty Principles Bill a few days ago.
Majority of National, ACT, NZ First, Labour voters support all 3 Treaty Principles
• Equality • Government • Social
April 10, 2025
KEY INSIGHTS
Based on this research by Curia, when it comes to the support : opposition ratios for each of the three proposed Treaty Principles:
- ALL NEW ZEALANDERS = 1.9, 1.7, & 4.4x more support than opposition for the three respective principles (average 2.7, median 1.9). This is consistent with the 2:1 support ratio shown in other polls.
- National voters overwhelmingly support all three principles 5.8, 3.1, 7.8x (average = 5.6x)
- ACT voters overwhelmingly support all three principles 2.6,7.9, 43.5x (average = 18.0x)
- NZ First voters overwhelmingly support all three principles 2.5, 1.9, 9.9x (average = 4.7x)
- Labour voters also support all three principles 1.2, 1.2, 3.2x (average = 1.8x)
- Green voters oppose the first two principles but support the third = 0.6, 0.5, 1.2x (average = 0.8x)
- Te Pāti Māori voters overwhelmingly oppose all three principles = 0.1, 0.5, 0.1 (average = 0.2x)
Other voters data was not provided in the polling results.
NOTE: We have shown the parties current polling based on the last three available polls in brackets, to remind the viewers that not all parties carry the same support.
7 KEY QUESTIONS
- Given most Kiwis still support the Bill by ~2:1, why is this not reflected in mainstream media coverage?
- Why has the National Party been so strong in its commitment to support the Bill only to the first reading when an overwhelming majority of their voters want it? Do they have a better solution?
- Why has NZ First been so strong in its commitment to support the Bill only to the first reading when an overwhelming majority of their voters want it? Do they have a better solution?
- Why has Labour been so opposed to the Bill when a majority of their voters support all three principles? Do they also have a better solution?
- Why have the Greens been so opposed to the Bill when their voters are split on the issue?
- Does the ACT Party have superior voter research skills/suppliers compared to the other parties, who seem to have misread the nation on this issue?
- In general, how do we resolve disagreements around the Treaty/Te Tiriti to achieve greater social unity in New Zealand going forward?
The above 7 Question raise some very good points – a number of, in fact most of, which have not been close to satisfactorily answered.
No Minister 
Why do the Oligarchs that rule in all the parties except ACT refuse to allow the people to discuss and decide anything that is important to them?
Oh yes, I forgot. It is because we are all too stupid to be allowed a referendum unless the outcome can be rigged to please our masters.
It may be more that they have a dislike of binding referenda.
Non binding they can ignore, eg the anti smacking legislation which is surely the reason for a lack of respect and discipline in young people these days.
Hi pdm1946.
IMO, there can be 3 forms of government.
1. By a supreme ruler or Monarch.
2. By an aristocratic class.
3. By the majority of the common people.
They all fail.
The Rulers become tyrants. The aristocrats become Oligarchs and the common people lost the plot and create chaos.
Our current form of government is an Oligarchy in which the ruling class are the people with the most money and a desire to have even more money because money = power.
The common people are divided into many hostile “identity groups” or tribes. The members of these hostile tribes cannot process the information about issues rationally in order to make valid decisions.
The Oligarchs will not allow a binding referendum because that is a threat to their status, wealth, authority and power.
We are at the end of another cycle of governance by Monarchs, then Aristocrats and then the common people. The cycles begin with Monarchy and end with Chaos.
The next stage will be Monarchy.
IMO, the cause of these cycles from chaos to chaos is Moral Stupidity and the undeniable fact that power inevitably corrupts everyone who seeks it.
I got these ideas from a guy called Plato.
In its own way, the Treaty Principles Bill was something akin to DOGE in the USA. It matters not that it has popular support. The entire rotting structure of the New Zealand establishment is built upon the false notion of Treaty partnership. Eliminate that, and the House of Cards all comes tumbling down. That’s why not even Winston Peters wanted it in the end.
New Zealand is fucked.