Roy Morgan caught me on the hop by being a week earlier this month. I actually spotted it around midday Wednesday when I was busy and then forgot about it yesterday.

Roy Morgan Polls should not be ignored though because they almost always contribute something of interest. Here are details from the latest.

National 32.0%

ACT 11.5%

NZFirst 8.0%

Total 51.5%

Labour 28.5%

Greens 11.0%

Maori Party 5.0%

Total 44.5%

Other sit at 4% and are not broken down in this poll.

What it tells us is that the Coalition could survive despite Nationals stagnation and the Opposition are floundering around and show slight signs of being less of a danger. Then again if Hipkins gets dumped the game changes because that gives Winston Peters options and it would be stupid to rule out a replay of 2017 – especially if Peters sees the opportunity to manipulate the new Labour leadership for extra baubles.

Hold fast Chippy – New Zealand needs you as leader of the Labour party to stop the unthinkable and unbearable happening.

As always Roy Morgan include a raft of additional information so here is the link to their post.

https://www.roymorgan.com/findings/9983-nz-national-voting-intention-june-2025