
It seems that Iran’s leaders have put their nation in far deeper shit than any military action by the Jews or the Yanks could have done:
According to the Tehran Chamber of Commerce, and Iranian central bank data, between 2011 and 2019, approximately $98.4 billion in capital left Iran — averaging $10.9 billion per year. These figures reflect only official data and exclude unregistered flows…Saeed Leylaz, a regime-aligned economist, estimated that over $100 billion in capital left the country between 2014 and 2019. This estimate does not include hidden assets such as gold, foreign currency, or U.S. dollars stashed away by ordinary citizens.
Which leads to this…
On May 17, 2021, Feryal Mostofi, head of the Money and Capital Committee at the Tehran Chamber of Commerce, warned of the middle class collapsing and merging into the growing poor population. She noted that poverty was rapidly rising, and the middle class was gradually disappearing. Mostofi stated, “We are witnessing a sharp increase in poverty across the society, and the middle class is steadily sinking into hardship. Some reports suggest that out of Iran’s 80 million people, around 60 million live below the poverty line.”
An inflation rate of 40%+ will do that. Which leads to this…
Majid Abhari, an Iranian sociologist, told the state-affiliated Arman newspaper (June 2021): “In recent years, brain drain has inflicted 300 times more economic damage on Iran than the 1980-1988 Iran-Iraq War.”…. Abdolkhaleq, a senior expert with the World Bank, echoed this concern, stating: “The brain drains costs Iran more than double the country’s annual oil revenues.” In an August 19 report, the state-run ILNA news agency wrote: “Iran is now recognized as the world’s largest exporter of young talent and intellectual elites.”
Which obviously cripples your industry and services, but also your healthcare and education systems and it all turns into a doom loop.
The thing is that all this is being reported quite openly, in many cases by state media, and people are still being allowed to leave – both features being utterly unlike the USSR and other communist nations during the Cold War.
That’s because Islam is a religion that supposedly floats above grubby, materialistic ideologies like capitalism, socialism and communism. Islam has always been comfortable with most aspects of capitalism – the Middle East is famous for haggling in the bazaars, but usury is frowned upon – while there are all sorts of welfare schemes. As such the Mullahs don’t care about controlling information about their poor economic situation or building a Berlin wall to stop people escaping; unlike communists material economics is not the basis of their religion.
Even so it was communism that the Mullahs hated almost as much as Israel and America, and the reason for that is that both are totalitarian; they look to command and control all aspects of your life, and there cannot be two such competing systems, hence Iran being very cold to the USSR.
Because while Islam may not care about economics on either the macro or micro scales in the way that communists did, it does – via Sharia law – instruct every Muslim on how to live their lives, down to the food they eat.
So what we’re seeing here in the reaction of ordinary people is what we saw in the USSR and its ilk; people are escaping. It’s their entirely rational reaction to being controlled because to stay means to do irrational things just to survive. In that respect there are more parallels with communist nations than the Mullahs probably care to consider, as seen in this recent review of a book about the USSR called Red Plenty:
Red Plenty takes the reader through 50 years of Soviet history via personal stories, with a special focus on inefficiencies in the economic/governance model that led to the USSR’s ultimate implosion.
The book came out in 2012 and I’ve read the following tale from it in other sources, but this is a good summary:
Three men manage a plant which produces the tough cord that lines the modern tire. Under a capitalist system the factory would produce as much tire cord as it profitably could, however, the Soviets believe in top-down control and production levels are determined by party leaders at Gosplan. The economist central planners study the data, attend smokey meetings and ultimately determine a “scientifically accurate” quota for tire cord, which they assign to the plant managers. Unfortunately, after six months of feverish activity the managers are forced to admit that it will be impossible to meet the deadline. No matter how many night shifts they work, the tire cord maker is incapable of producing the desired amount. The blasted machine is a dud! What can be done?
Well in a capitalist society you just buy a new machine or otherwise upgrade the old one if that’s possible. But the managers couldn’t do that because Gosplan wouldn’t allow it – or even if they did it would take months for the request and analysis to go up the chain and then back down to send an order to the factory that made the machine.
The managers had a better idea:
The managers believe that if they tell the party leaders about the discrepancy they’ll be labeled as saboteurs (a common accusation for anyone who fails to produce the expected amount). Instead, the managers execute an elaborate scheme which crescendos with a bulldozer rolling down a hill, smashing through the wall of the factory and colliding with the cord producing machine thus ruining it.
That review doesn’t mention it but IIRC from reading the book they did get a new machine to replace the old one – except it was the same model.
The same shite has been occurring in Iran for forty years now, albeit with a religious tinge to it, across all walks of life. Perhaps your decisions about your business, job, education, healthcare and other things won’t breach the Mullah’s rules or even come to their attention? But they might, and when they do it’s SHTF time.
Better to just leave and let the whole thing collapse.