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POLITICIANS AND POLITICIANS

with 9 comments

Sorry Wayne Brown … you’ve blown it and from hereon-in you will be defined as the Mayor who abrogated his responsibility to lead when leadership was needed. And now the series of explosive tweets from him bemoaning his inability to play tennis on Sunday having instead to deal with ‘drongo media’. Stupid, stupid, stupid … one can only imagine the reaction from the 400+ property owners with their homes red or yellow stickered and from the many business owners whose livelihoods have suffered (with some unlikely to reopen). The best you can say is that WB is a technocrat totally devoid of the human touch … his authority as Mayor will be forever diminished … he has handed his detractors his head on a plate.

And then we have the spectacle of Donald Trump being Donald Trump. Claimed he won the Senior Club Championship at the Trump International Golf Club last weekend after having failed to turn up on Day 1 instead declaring the 40 point Stableford round he shot the previous Thursday should count as his Saturday score meaning he went into the Sunday final found with a five point advantage. At any other golf course in the world such a claim would have been laughed off the course. Trump after his ‘victory’ … “You need strength and stamina to WIN, & I have strength and stamina – most others don’t”. Trump’s love for golf – and playing it by his own rules – inspired writer Rick Reilly’s bestselling book ‘Commander in Cheat, How Golf Explains Trump’.

Wayne Brown and Donald Trump … both fatally flawed individuals.

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Written by The Veteran

January 31, 2023 at 2:30 pm

Posted in New Zealand

ON CARMEL SEPULONI

with 5 comments

Carmel Sepoloni would have to be rated as one of Labour’s best performing ministers …. sarc. Under her watch at MSD the number of working people receiving a benefit have increased by over 22% since National left office; those on a benefit more than twelve months increased by 26%; Maori beneficiaries up by 26%; Pacific people (her people) by 35%: numbers on job seeker more than twelve months up 49%; Maori on job seeker up 41% and Pacific people on job seeker up 67% … source https://www.msd.govt.nz/about-msd-and-our-work/publications-resources/statistics/benefit/index.html. And we won’t even talk about educational attainment

Some might see her appointment as a cynical attempt to shore up Labour’s PI support base given that by virtually every metric the statistics for PI people are going south at a rate of knots. I couldn’t possibly comment.

And consider this … good enough to be Deputy Prime Minister but not good enough to be Deputy Leader of the Labour Party … such is the power of the Maori caucus. Got to keep the troops happy I guess. Turn that around … Kelvin Davis … good enough to be Deputy Leader of the Labour Party but not good enough to be Deputy Prime Minister …. hmmmmmmm

Written by The Veteran

January 23, 2023 at 3:59 pm

NEW YEAR PREDICTIONS

with 25 comments

#1 from my post of 29 December … Jacx will not lead the Labour Party into the next election.

I’m picking Wood over Hipkins but Keri Allan could be a dark horse … such is the power of the Maori caucus.

Mean – but clever…

Written by The Veteran

January 19, 2023 at 3:12 pm

THE ‘SPARE’ SPEAKS

with 3 comments

Have to say the continuing episodes of the Harry and Megan soap-opera leave me cold. Harry (and Andrew) born into privilege and never quite figured it out. Megan reminding me more and more each day of that money obsessed Wallace Simpson, King Edward V111’s (aka Duke of Windsor) other half.

And now the revelation in ‘Spare’ (Harry’s book) that as an Apache pilot in Afghanistan he killed 25 Taliban. Give me feekin strength … that’s the sort of thing REAL soldiers don’t talk about leaving it to the wannabees and misfits to strut their stuff. And clearly Harry is a misfit who has lost his way aided and abetted in every step by his eminence grise in the form of Ms M.

Meanwhile go the Blackcaps heading into Day 5 … now that could get me excited

Written by The Veteran

January 6, 2023 at 12:13 pm

Posted in New Zealand

2023 PREDICTIONS

with 12 comments

Here are my (political) predictions for 2023 … in for a penny, in for a pound. Feel free to argue the toss …

Jacx will not lead Labour into the election

National and ACT will form the next government

The Greens will struggle to hold onto their ten seats

NZ First will not be in parliament.

Te Pati Maori will pick up two additional seats … one List seat and Tamaki Makaurau

John Campbell will lose his cool on election night

David Seymour will be Deputy PM

Nicola Willis will be Finance Minister

Gerry Brownlie will be Speaker

ACT will pick up Education, Local Government, Defence & Veterans’ Affairs plus one other ‘name’ portfolio as well as having two ministers outside cabinet

Post the election there will be a bruising battle for the ‘soul’ of the Labour Party.

Written by The Veteran

December 29, 2022 at 2:12 pm

Posted in NZ Politics

A QUESTION FROM A (NOW VERY) OCCASIONAL BLOGGER

with 13 comments

I decline to accept the proposition that the Labour Party caucus and Labour’s Council are so divorced from reality so as not to recognise the Jacinda Ardern has now become the equivalent of Jeremy Corbyn of New Zealand politics. She is toxic, the electorate is laughing at her, very few believe anything she sez, the phone is off the hook. Never so true the old adage that you can fool some of the people some of the time but you can’t fool all of the people all of the time. The chickens have come home to roost and that is borne out by the findings of the latest ANZ Business Confidence survey.

Two months ago I would have argued the chances of Jax throwing in the towel were minimal. No more. Labour MPs and the movers and shakers in the Labour Party will be contemplating their (non) future with Ardern remaining at the helm. So, who to replace her? Not the ‘nice’ Mr Robertson … Ardern and Robbo are the Hansel and Gretel of the Labour Party … she is ‘Him’ and he is ‘Her’. Failure incorporated. No, if they are to stand any chance at all come the election it has to be someone in their power elite … personable and not overly tainted with failure.

That person … https://www.labour.org.nz/michaelwood

Hat-tip to my Labour Party source.

Written by The Veteran

December 21, 2022 at 7:56 pm

Posted in NZ Politics

Tagged with

THAT’S NICE TO KNOW

with 4 comments

While I have pretty much stood back from active blogging I can’t resist reposting this from the Veterans’ Affairs New Zealand (VANZ) website.

Quote … We prioritise applications … The priority for handling the applications we receive is to process those received from living veterans first … unquote.

Does that mean they are receiving applications from dead veterans? Perhaps, just perhaps, there is life after death.

Colleague veterans to note … if you are dead expect a delay in the processing of any application you submit. LOL.

Written by The Veteran

December 18, 2022 at 2:59 pm

Posted in New Zealand

HAMILTON WEST

with 8 comments

I see the Labour twitter-sphere are already disparaging National’s win in Hamilton West citing the low turn-out at 31.4% of eligible voters (although this % is likely to rise once special voters are counted). One could respond with the words attributed to Michael Cullen ‘we won, you lost, eat that’ but I won’t. Perhaps a better response is to measure the win against the 2017 Mt Albert by-election won by someone called Jacinda Ardern on a turnout of 30% … didn’t hear too many Labour supporters arguing the legitimacy of that win.

A measure of National’s victory is that Tama Potaka won 33 out of 35 polling places losing one by just one vote and the other by three votes.

A nice Xmas pressie for National with the general election just around the corner.

And for the fairy princess with the busted halo … don’t let the door smack you on the backside as you exit stage left.

Written by The Veteran

December 11, 2022 at 10:53 am

Posted in New Zealand

PRETTY MUCH ALL OVER BAR THE SHOUTING

with 12 comments

With the news that CNN has now projected that in the Nevada Senate race the incumbent Democrat has defeated her Republican challenger. If this is confirmed it will give the Democrats 50 seats thus retaining control of the Senate (with the vote of the Vice-President). This consigns the Georgia Senate run-off race to side-show status although both parties will be running hard for the seat for different reasons … the Democrats wanting to boost their majority and the Republicans campaigning for a light at the end of what has been a long black tunnel for them.

In the House I am projecting the Republicans to win a razor thin majority with 222 seats … much, much less than they hoped for. It is difficult to avoid the conclusion that the Red team won control of the House in spite of Trump while in the Senate the Reds lost because of Trump

And there will be shouting from ‘you know who’ … a deeply flawed draft dodger whose personality defects were laid bare for all to see with his comment that he took credit for any wins the Republicans enjoyed while the losses were someone else’s fault. Deserving of a case-book study for aspiring psychologists.

But he went further dumping on Ron ‘Desanctimonious’ as a bad man that he would release ‘dirt’ on should he dare try for the Republican nomination and all the while while ignoring the fact that DeSantis won an overwhelming victory in Florida turning a swing state into a Republican fortress.

Have a look at the exit polling which Tom H covered off in his post. The <40 demographic went heavily for the Democrats … they saw though the cant and hubris that surrounds Trump and his band of true believers. Tell you something for nothing … if the Republicans want to guarantee Biden a second term then they should nominate Trump … if they want to win all they have to do is read the tea leaves.

Written by The Veteran

November 13, 2022 at 3:33 pm

Posted in US Politics, USA

Tagged with

ON THE MID-TERMS

with 7 comments

A week out from the US Mid-Term elections it appears there is a more than even chance that the Republicans will take control of the House allowing them to set the legislative agenda. The real focus is however on the Senate. If the Democrats maintain their control (exercised as it is right now through the vote of the Vice-President) then they would be in a position to frustrate any legislation placed before it by Republicans. Conversely, should the Republicans make a net gain of just one seat in the Senate then Biden becomes even more of a lame-duck President than he already his.

A little while back my good friend Tom H and I had a double or quits bet on the Senate result with Tom predicting a Republican win. I’m away from home next week but on Wednesday night I will be watching closely three races which I think will likely determine the outcome … Pennsylvania, Georgia and Nevada.

My prediction is that in Pennsylvania Oz (R) will defeat Fetterman (D) with the Republicans retaining the seat. The state of Fetterman’s health remains a big question especially after his performance in recent debates. In Georgia I see Warner (D) defeating Walker (R) with the Democrats retaining the seat … Walker’s private life may come back to bite him in the bum. But for me the super interesting race is Nevada and I’m picking here for the Republicans to flip the seat with Laxalt (R) defeating CortezMasto (D) with the state of the economy the determining factor.

If those three races play out the way I think they might and no other seats change hands then the Republicans will win the Senate but that’s a lot of ifs and maybes.

Still, right now Tom H is in the drivers seat and I wish him well (sort of). Time will tell.

Written by The Veteran

October 31, 2022 at 10:07 am

Posted in US Politics