No Minister

Posts Tagged ‘Iowa Caucuses

USA: The Democrat Iowa debacle and Pelosi’s origami (oh – and it’s Impeachment Vote day)

leave a comment »

Following the Democrats’s incredible display of incompetence in the Iowa caucus with their hopeless vote-counting app failing on the night, votes continue to trickle in as the work is done by paper.

Not that you’d know this by looking at the Iowa Democrats website, which at the time of writing still shows no results when you hit the Caucus Results button!!! It’s got to be up soon.

Meantime, here’s the Politico.com website results:

Panic time for the Democrat Party. Sanders will likely win the next Primary in New Hampshire (NH), as he did four years ago. It borders the state of Vermont, which has been Bernie’s home for decades.

Meantime, nobody expects Buttigieg to do all that well in New Hampshire, let alone in the states beyond that, such as Nevada and South Carolina. That was where Creepy Joe was supposed to hit his stride and …. it’s not happening; look at the dates of these NH polls:

The result being that one of the elder statesmen of the Democrat Party, James Carville – a key player in Bill Clinton’s success in the 1990’s and a Democrat with his feet on the ground and a Southern Accent – is hitting the panic button, as he contemplates the Corbynisation of the US Democrat Party.

But when you’re a leading, powerful Democrat politician, who cares about such mundane things when there’s paper to be ripped up on live TV, just to show how very, very angry you are for not getting your own way.

That’s twice in one week we’ve seen powerful woman dressed in white losing their sense of occasion and acting out in foot-stamping ways that reflect badly on them and their own institutions.

Mairead McGuinness, Irish MEP & EU VP | Nancy Pelosi, US House Speaker

Trump is a petulant man and refused to shake Pelosi’s hand after handing her a copy of his speech, and Pelosi reacted at the end by tearing up a copy of his speech.

I get that these two people hate eachother’s guts, just loath eachother, and I suppose in our modern world it’s a mark of honesty that this hatred is out in the open, rather than being covered by polite, traditional gestures, especially when it’s an accurate reflection of the rest of the USA, which is more partisan than I can ever recall in my lifetime.

But I still find it a little depressing. It’s not exactly Gladstone vs. Disraeli material is it? Two political men who also loathed eachother passionately but who allowed good manners to cover it in public.

This by contrast is rather like two divorced parents who can’t stop their private war from exploding in front of the rest of the family.

Still, I’ll take the war rather than the polite squishiness. Although Pelosi and Trump don’t know it,  large forces and ideas – of which they are mere representatives – are increasingly in mutually exclusive conflict and the results matter. We may not want to call it a war, but it is.

And I need more popcorn.

Written by Tom Hunter

February 5, 2020 at 8:01 pm

I DON’T BELIEVE THIS

leave a comment »

Iowa doesn’t deserve the attention generated by the media.    I’m looking at a breakdown of the votes for the candidates.

For the Republicans and with 100% of the votes counted Trump won with 31,422 votes out of the 32,345 votes cast.

For the Democrats and with 71% of the votes counted Pete Buttigieg is ahead with 419 votes, repeat 419, out of 1,482, repeat 1,482 votes cast.

Reality check guys.

Written by The Veteran

February 5, 2020 at 9:18 am

Posted in US Politics, USA

Tagged with

Do the Democrats want to win in 2020?

leave a comment »

Transparently incompetent that is.

Because if they do they’re going about it in very strange ways.

Having said that, such has probably been true of their actions for over twelve months now.

Seriously though, they spent three years preparing to deliver this?

Surely all that time was not spent just on developing the now infamous app that failed on Monday night? The one that seems to have had no field testing and was being downloaded by users on the day of the vote!

May I suggest they buy this book?

In the lead up to the Iowa primary the big concern of the DNC (Democratic National Committee) seemed to be the rise of Bernie Sanders as the only competitor in his Far left lane, Elizabeth Warren, began to fall away.

You should understand that the DNC and most of the Democrat Party nowadays don’t actually object to Bernie’s socialist ideas, so successful has he been in turning them in those directions – they just don’t want them broadcast so explicitly to the American public and they’re not so confident they can be sold outside of the AOC-Bernie wing of the party.

More Obamacare++ and less Medicare-For-All is the ticket to election success, even though the ultimate objective is the same for both. The Iowa clusterfuck causes problems much wider than a mere screw up of votes in one primary, as this smart ass Tweet noted:

“Is running the entire country’s healthcare harder or easier than managing the Iowa caucus? Asking for a friend,”

And where would we be without whispers of Clintonian involvement, as 2016 Clinton campaign manager Robby Mook defensively notes:

.

And this just in:

.

FFS. This is the DNC emails hack all over again.

Is this cognitive dissonance at work in the Democrat party?

By which I mean, how can they can be so paranoid about being hacked by the Russians – while at the same time being so paranoid about working with some part of the Trump Administration.

Or is this just the same combination of arrogance and stupidity that drove the Hillary Clinton private email server debacle?

I’d like to say it’s the latter but when your dealing with people this unstable it’s hard to diagnose their real problems.

.

.

At some stage – hopefully later today – the final Iowa results will be published. In the meantime I’m sitting back with a big bowl of popcorn and enjoying the Tweets…

You prepared for this for three years? :flushed: 

You had one job!

Democrats want to control every aspect of our lives but they can’t figure out how to count 12 votes in Iowa

how’s that going, chucklefucks

Chucklefucks is what I’m going to say all week :joy:

…. and the headlines.

Harsh and fair.

Harsh and true.

Harsh and funny.

.
.
Of course being the MSM those headlines have some wearily familiar aspects to them, starting with supposed “Right Winger” Jennifer Rubin in the Washington Post, showing yet another 180 degree turn caused by the OrangeManBad virus in her brain.
.

And the perennial MSM tactic of “REPUBLICANS POUNCE”, whereby a Democrat screw up is turned into a story about how the GOP are taking advantage of it – a very subtle way of changing the narrative by removing the word association of “Democrat” and “failure / problem / mistake / corruption / violence / racism” etc.

Written by Tom Hunter

February 4, 2020 at 10:01 pm

USA Election 2020 – The Iowa Caucuses Are Happening (UPDATE, UPDATE)

leave a comment »

UPDATE 2.0

Bernie Sander’s campaign has decided to release their own data from the Iowa caucuses, imperfect but….

“Due to the failure of the Iowa Democratic Party to release results tonight and in the interest of full transparency, Bernie 2020 Senior Advisor Jeff Weaver is releasing the campaign’s internal reporting numbers, which represent the results from nearly 40 percent of precincts in Iowa,” the statement began. 

“We recognize that this does not replace the full data from the Iowa Democratic Party, but we believe firmly that our supporters worked too hard for too long to have the results of that work delayed,” Weaver said. 

According to the preliminary results published by the Sanders campaign, Bernie took first place with 29.66 percent, with former South Bend Mayor Pete Buttigieg taking second with 24.59 percent. Sen. Elizabeth Warren (D-Mass.) took third, with 21.24 percent. No other candidate received the 15 percent necessary for delegates. On the final count, former Vice President Joe Biden took 12.37 percent and Sen. Amy Klobuchar (D-Minn.) took 11 percent.”

Creepy Sniffer Joe didn’t hit the 15% threshold? Yowza!

Sure these are from the Bernie campaign so YMMV but they’ve obviously decided to go full Leninist and seize the telephone and telegraph stations before the Imperial Army can get there.

==========

UPDATE 1.0 from Vodkapundit:

I started realtime drunkblogging of live events back in 2003, but I’ve never had to call it quits before.
But how do you report on election results when the election provides no results to report?
So I have to call it quits for the night, but I can guaran-damn-tee you that the fun is just getting started.

Yeah, baby!

=============

As is typical of the 24/7 go-go-go insanity of Trump-world there’s altogether too much happening at the moment in the USA.

Superbowl LIV was yesterday (Sunday in the US) and congrats to the Kansas City Chiefs for winning their first Superbowl in 50 years. Not quite up to the woebegone standard of my Chicago Cubs with their 108-year gap between World Series, but still worthy of being underdogs against five-time winners the San Francisco 49’rs. I don’t like American Football but because of the Chief’s half-century gap I decided to watch the game, my first in years – well aside from Tom Brady’s 2nd half comeback for the Patriots against the choking Falcons.

Censored to protect older viewer’s hearts!

I avoided the always stupid-and-ridiculous half-time show of course and thereby missed seeing J.Lo’s pussy live on the big screen.

The “wardrobe” malfunctions of Janet Jackson are now a distant memory thanks to J.Lo not wearing anything at all.

Remember that these are the sort of people who berate Trump’s pussy-grabbing comment.

In this game I did have to chuckle late in the 3rd quarter with the 49’rs leading 20-10 when one announcer said that “the Chiefs have got the 49’rs right where they want them“. The Chiefs apparently have had a habit of overcoming opponent’s leads late in games – and that’s exactly what they did this time also.

Tomorrow – Tuesday evening US time – President Trump will deliver a State Of The Union (SOTU) address, as per Nancy Pelosi’s kindly invitation last month, just two days after passing articles to impeach him. Perfectly understandable since she’s always known that impeachment would fail. Trump will become only the second President after Clinton to present a SOTU while under impeachment. I regard SOTU’s as a total waste of time and wish the US would return to the pre-Woodrow Wilson era of just sending a letter to Congress.

Baby Shark, doo, doo, doo, doo, doo

Like most Progressives, Woodrow regarded himself as a superior being, especially since he had a PhD, and he loved lecturing everybody anyway (something the European leaders did not appreciate at the end of WWI), which is why he decided to present the SOTU live and in-person in 1913. But there’s no reason why a tradition established can’t be junked in favour of an older tradition, especially since few people give a shit about SOTU’s aside from each President’s first one.

Still, this could be worth watching for Trump’s trolling, which may be epic, and which I hope will include a “Baby Shark” hand clap back at Nancy as she sits behind him.

The very next day will see Trump’s impeachment voted down in the Senate and everybody getting on with their lives – well aside from TDS sufferers – but more on that at the time.


However, today in the US it’s Monday (barely as I write this) and that means the first votes of the Presidential nomination process being cast, with the Iowa caucus votes.

Naturally the focus is on the Democrats but they actually had ones for the Republicans, which has already produced the following shock result:

It’s a good example of how the world of communication has enlarged, spread and sped up, that people are now following Iowa. Even well into the 1990’s people focused most of their attention on the famous New Hampshire primary, since the voting there is much like a general election, except with people registered with each Party casting their votes only in that Party’s primary.

Nobody gave a damn about the earlier Iowa voting, both because they historically had not mattered in terms of determining the final nomination winner, and because they’re a very strange type of voting that nobody understands. But the world of “candidate momentum” and other bullshit has combined with the increasing and insatiable media appetite that demands all-talk-all-the-time-about-anything, to push Iowa into the floodlit glare of the 21st century.

Vodkapundit Stephen Green explains the insane voting process here with Everything You Ever Wanted to Know About the Iowa Caucuses (But Were Afraid Someone Would Tell You). Key points:

After months of getting henpecked over the airwaves and in person by damn near every single one of the Democrats’ 20 or so candidates, Iowans meet tonight at 8 p.m. Eastern in gyms, people’s homes, and libraries in all 99 counties and 1,678 precinct locations. Instead of just casting ballots, they’ll actually caucus: That is, they’ll sit around and talk about it. Because sharing is caring and please kill me now.

There are also first and second preferences, with votes re-distributed STV-style as candidates miss the threshold, plus “Final State Delegate” calculations done much later.  I can’t be bothered explaining it: read the link.

The really important thing to note is that only about 15% of voters turn out for these things: seriously – would you go out in an Iowan winter night for this? As a result it rewards campaigns with real grass-roots enthusiasm and organisation that gets candidates representatives and True Believers involved to argue in these very personal little meetings all across the state. It’s the reason that Obama beat Hillary here in 2008 and gave the first indications of the tidal wave his campaign would become – and of how cold, calculating and useless Hillary and her robots were.

And who has a campaign like Obama’s today? Why it’s Bernie Sanders, even more so than 2016. And this has started to give the Democratic National Committee (DNC) some heart problems as he gains in the polls, his main rival in the Left lane, Elizabeth Warren, falls away, and Biden continues to wobble. And that in turn has led to some very strange things happening:

First, the globulous Hollywood bum Michael Moore exploded at the DNC for changing their debate rules so that yet another Ancient Rich White Man, in this case super billionaire Mike Bloomberg, can join the debate – while genuine Democrats (and POC’s) like Julian Castro get shafted (angry video at the link).

Then came the decision by local newspaper, the Des Moines Register, to not publish their final poll. The reasons given don’t add up, and rumours are swirling that the unreleased poll found Bernie Sanders running away with the caucuses and Biden sinking like a stone, and this might have spooked the Register.

And now tonight there seems to be a problem with the app developed by the DNC to count the votes.

By now the results for the first round should have been available, and probably the second round and possibly even the final results. But that’s not what’s happening.
No one knows what’s going on at this point, but there are some reports that the app is not working correctly.
Former Obama staffer Van Jones was just quoted:

“This is starting to feel like, possibly, a real debacle, where if there’s some technical problems that they’re not disclosing we could be very late on this.”

People are laughing at the incompetence  but based on their history in Chicago and Texas, I’d say that when Democrats have a “mysterious delay” in reporting votes, it’s because they’re cheating on the results.

Anyway, if you’re interested you can Drunkblog the thing live with Vodkapundit.

Written by Tom Hunter

February 4, 2020 at 5:12 am

Trumped, Thumped and Gazzumped

leave a comment »

To those who feared Trump might win the GOP nomination, the IOWA caucuses will bring some relief.

Cruz defeated Trump by a good margin and Rbio got up from behind to come close to tipping Trump into third place.

The counting still proceeds but it looks as though Clinton will go down to Sanders.

Who would have thunk it, eh?

Still a long way to go.

Written by adolffinkensen

February 2, 2016 at 4:03 am

Posted in New Zealand

Tagged with ,