No Minister

Posts Tagged ‘Lockdown

Reckless (with your love)

Kristi Noem

One of our more prolific commentators stated some weeks ago that the Republican governor of South Dakota had been one of the most “reckless” governors in the USA when it came to dealing with the Chinese Lung Rot pandemic.

She was supposedly condemned by two things. First, her own words:

For those of you who don’t know, South Dakota is the only state in America that never ordered a single business or church to close. We never instituted a shelter in place order. We never mandated that people wear masks. We never even defined what an essential business is, because I don’t believe that governors have the authority to tell you that your business isn’t essential.

I provided all of the information that we had to our people, and then I trusted them to make the best decisions for themselves, for their families, and in turn, their communities. We never focused on the case numbers. Instead, we kept our eye on hospital capacity.

Even in a pandemic, public health policy needs to take into account people’s economic and social wellbeing. Daily needs still need to be met. People need to keep a roof over their heads. They need to feed their families. And they still need purpose. They need their dignity. Now my administration resisted the call for virus control at the expense of everything else. We looked at the science, the data and the facts, and then we took a balanced approach.

Balance instead of an autistic approach to a problem? Trusting ordinary people to make the right decisions? Are you crazy? Soon you’ll have them selecting their leaders by voting.

Second, supposedly by the results. For months into the pandemic South Dakota was doing very well, much better than the likes of New York, whose Governor, Andrew Cuomo, was receiving all the plaudits that Noem was not – while killing thousands of elderly people by forcing them out of hospitals (to make space for the Covid-19 wave) and into home care and hospice facilities, who were not allowed to test them for Covid.

But as with all diseases it eventually got to South Dakota and its death rate rose. However the assumption – even in the face of states that supposedly did all the right things, including lockdowns, and still have higher death rates – is that South Dakota did it wrong and that being a rural state they would have done much better if only Noem had followed the conventional wisdom of Public Health officials.

Thus the best comparison is not SD to NY but to a similar state: North Dakota, which did follow the instructions of Fauci and the CDC. Here’s restricted N.Dakota vs. no-restrictions S.Dakota.

Even more interesting when you learn that S.D had a 9 day bike rally event in August with approximately 500,000 attendees yet their case patterns fared better than their northern neighbour.

During the winter surge of cases there is no statistically significant difference in case-load between the two states.

Then there’s this graph comparing the death rates between lockdown and non-lockdown states.

Finally there’s Texas. On March 10th their governor lifted the mask mandate, only to be immediately greeted with a blast from the ambulatory root vegetable currently acting as the US President, to the effect that lifting the mandate was “Neanderthal thinking” (The Neanderthals really don’t deserve this abuse) as opposed to those wonderful states that follow the “science”.

The result. Note especially the recent mini-surge in Michigan, New Jersey and New York, who are still following the “science”.

We always hear “just wait 2 weeks and you’ll see cases spike” when restrictions are lifted. On March 10 Texas lifted all their restrictions and opened up their society. I guess the science is different in Texas than Michigan and New York, right?

This led to an embarrassing interview with Dr Fauci, who is yet another octogenarian US government member that should be put out to pasture. Can you believe that this bureaucrat is the highest paid member of the US government (spare me the medical doctor routine, he hasn’t practiced medicine in decades)

Let’s be blunt: after all his flip-flops he simply doesn’t know what he’s talking about. Despite the previous burbling over his wrong predictions he went on in the same interview to predict that the Texas Rangers opening season baseball game could spark another Covid wave. FFS!

The possibility that Democrat politicians and Deep State midgets could possibly be wrong just doesn’t occur to them, not for one hot second.

Written by Tom Hunter

April 12, 2021 at 1:00 pm

Decision making at the highest levels of government

Those of us old enough to remember the great financial meltdown of more than a decade ago which was quickly labeled the GFC (Global Financial Crisis), will recall the series of bad calls from the US Administration of GW Bush in 2006:

As early as 2006, top advisers to Bush dismissed warnings from people inside and outside the White House that housing prices were inflated and that a foreclosure crisis was looming.

The Federal Reserve of Ben Bernanke in 2007:

“We believe the effect of the troubles in the subprime sector on the broader housing market will be limited and we do not expect significant spillovers from the subprime market to the rest of the economy or to the financial system,”

Plus earlier bad calls from the US Congress, such as that of then ranking member of the House Financial Services Committee, Barney Frank in 2003 on the idea of more regulation of the mortgage giants Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac:

“I do think I do not want the same kind of focus on safety and soundness that we have in OCC [Office of the Comptroller of the Currency] and OTS [Office of Thrift Supervision]. I want to roll the dice a little bit more in this situation towards subsidized housing.”

All of which led to the disaster of 2008 and beyond.

You will thus also recall the measures repeatedly taken to try and solve the problem once it unwound as a result of all this poor decision making: bailouts of the banks and institutions that were Numero Uno in causing the crisis, with the government as their enabling drug pusher.

The cartoon series South Park, which I doubt many on this blog have seen, let alone followed over its twenty-plus year run, was typically profane, grotesque, brutal, uncompromising and definitely not PC in their take on the crisis, as per the following clip. I thought of this segment last night.

Just substitute the word “lockdown” for “bailout” to describe our current situation.

Written by Tom Hunter

February 15, 2021 at 11:16 am

Lockdown Madness

Here we are in day one of a six day lockdown.

It’s heading for 35 degrees and the place has gone mad. Within two hours of the announcement yesterday Dan Murphy (booze) was cleaned out as were most supermarkets.

While Adolf was picking up his modest supply, some dick was wandering around the store coughing and muttering ‘covid.’ At Costco in Perth one couple parked in the trolley bay and crawled out through the window. Another couple simply stopped in the car park thoroughfare, popped the bonnet, tuned on the hazard lights and went off shopping.

Which all goes to show, when you want to show an Aussie an arsehole, give him a mirror.

Why do people rush out and buy a hundred rolls of toilet paper?

This lockdown was caused by a quarantine hotel guard testing positive for the new Pommie version. The bloke was a private security guard and Uber driver and KFC walloper.

The guard worked on the same floor as an active case of the UK mutant strain. Picture: Matt Jelonek/Getty Images

It’s a repeat of the Victorian fiasco in which the use of troops was declined because the Union wanted the jobs for it’s dumbarse members. With thousands of teachers twiddling their thumbs on full pay, you’d think they could have been drafted.

Maybe they aren’t intelligent enough for this kind of work.

Written by adolffinkensen

February 1, 2021 at 5:10 pm

Posted in New Zealand

Tagged with ,

Swedish Death 2020 – and Lockdowns

The last in this series.

As usual it takes until well into January before a nation’s death statistics are settled, and this is even more true of Chinese Lung Rot deaths.

Here then the final update for Sweden’s death toll in 2020, both total and for Covid-19.

The annual death rate for 2020 was 0.94%, compared to the average of 0.92% for the previous decade. Moreover the death toll is lower than it was in 2010-2012 and the same as 2013. I don’t recall any great wave of hysteria about those years.

You’ll recall that it was predicted that Sweden was going to suffer worse than other nations because it had not gone full lockdown (true) and was instead going for “herd immunity” (false). Actually they went for “social distancing” and kept their schools, cafes and the like open. To put it bluntly, the excess deaths are just not there: the people who died with or of Covid-19 would have died of the flu or Pneumonia instead, just as they do every other year. The Swedes can be well satisfied that they didn’t crush their economy with extremist lockdowns.

Speaking of which, this miracle happened the other day in the USA.

So now that OrangeManBad is safely gone the US MSM can start reporting stories about the failure of the lockdown approach and key politicians in the USA can start saying that they have to re-open their cities and states before they completely destroy their local economies – even as those states face levels of Covid-19 case numbers and deaths that triggered the original lockdowns months ago. In some cases, worse.

Also, so much for the Leftie theory that the virus was done with urban areas (controlled by Democrats) and was now sweeping into the lands of the Low Sloping Foreheads (controlled by those hick Republicans).

As noted months ago by Professor Johan Giesecke (one of the world’s leading epidemiologists, former Chief Scientist of the European Centre for Disease Prevention and Control, and an advisor to the director general of the WHO):

Getting out of the lockdowns will be the big challenge since the question is around which restrictions can be lifted, followed by watching for upticks in cases and deaths at each stage, with increases met by what? Reinstating the restriction?

And even with vaccines it seems. These people just can’t let go of their sense of control. Here’s the UK, which went for extreme lockdown – and still is.

And New Zealand:

Interesting that in the UK and NZ the death rate has been slowly increasing in recent years, apparently the result of ageing populations and declining birth rates.

Written by Tom Hunter

January 22, 2021 at 7:00 am

Swedish Numbers Update

Since I wrote this post on November 6 about Sweden’s death toll from Chinese Lung AIDS – And in Other Numbers – there has been some excitement among the commentariat with the appearance of the expected second wave of the virus as the Northern Winter commences.

Herewith the good old Worldometer graph for the nation:

As a result I thought it time to update my spreadsheet from October 30 to December 4th (the latest date for which Statista has Total Deaths from all causes) and see where Sweden stands:

The numbers speak for themselves. Even if the current daily death rate from Chinese Sinus Rot continued to December 31 – and of course it is dropping – Sweden’s annual death toll will be almost exactly the average population death rate for the last decade of 0.92%.

And in US news on this matter of counting deaths., here’s the John Hopkins medical article that was rapidly pulled – but not fast enough to miss the WayBack Machine – A closer look at U.S. deaths due to COVID-19.

Genevieve Briand, assistant program director of the Applied Economics master’s degree program at Hopkins, critically analyzed the effect of COVID-19 on U.S. deaths using data from the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) in her webinar titled “COVID-19 Deaths: A Look at U.S. Data.”

……

She explained that the significance of COVID-19 on U.S. deaths can be fully understood only through comparison to the number of total deaths in the United States.

After retrieving data on the CDC website, Briand compiled a graph representing percentages of total deaths per age category from early February to early September, which includes the period from before COVID-19 was detected in the U.S. to after infection rates soared. 

Comparing to total deaths is the smart thing to do as well as looking at what has happened to other types of deaths. And the result?

Analysis of deaths per cause in 2018 revealed that the pattern of seasonal increase in the total number of deaths is a result of the rise in deaths by all causes, with the top three being heart disease, respiratory diseases, influenza and pneumonia.

“This is true every year. Every year in the U.S. when we observe the seasonal ups and downs, we have an increase of deaths due to all causes,” Briand pointed out.

When Briand looked at the 2020 data during that seasonal period, COVID-19-related deaths exceeded deaths from heart diseases. This was highly unusual since heart disease has always prevailed as the leading cause of deaths. However, when taking a closer look at the death numbers, she noted something strange.

As Briand compared the number of deaths per cause during that period in 2020 to 2018, she noticed that instead of the expected drastic increase across all causes, there was a significant decrease in deaths due to heart disease. Even more surprising, as seen in the graph below, this sudden decline in deaths is observed for all other causes.

Looks like the USA has discovered an incredible cure for elderly people who die from heart disease and other diseases.

Written by Tom Hunter

December 10, 2020 at 8:17 am

Just As I Thought

Here is the first graph I’ve seen showing the number of deaths from Covid alongside the number of deaths from other causes. It’s no wonder you haven’t seen it in the media because it calls into question the insane lockdowns being continued in various countries. Authoritarian governments and the media prefer to use the meaningless ‘new infection’ numbers which are more scary. (US numbers from February 2020)

COVID-19 coronavirus deaths Heritage

I’d like to know 1) how many of the ‘all other causes’ died because of the lockdowns and 2) how many of the 60,000 or so over 84s died from some other cause but happened to have Covid.

Written by adolffinkensen

November 23, 2020 at 4:57 pm

And in Other Numbers

And while we watch the good little Democrat machines of Philadelphia and Atlanta slowly, slowly creep Biden’s numbers closer to Trump’s here are some other numbers to discuss.

Some months ago when the fighting over the Swedish approach to Chinese Lung Rot disease was first cranking up I decided to start a spreadsheet tracking the death tolls of that country, as reported by Worldometer for covid-19 and Statista for total deaths, population and so forth.

First up is the latest decade of Annual deaths and the population for Sweden, plus the resulting daily death toll and Annual death rate.

As you can see the annual deaths are fairly stable around 90,000 per year from all causes. As the population has increased the death rate has slowly declined from about 0.95% to 0.90%.

Then we come to 2020. According to Statista the total deaths from all causes as of October 30 was 75,644, or 249 per day. The years 2015 and 2016 had the same daily death rate of 249, and the ten-year average was 248.

Subtracting out all the covid-19 deaths as of October 30 (5,972) – and assuming for the moment that these were people who would not have died but for the disease – yields an expected year-end death toll much lower than anything in the last decade: 83,881.

But of course it’s a false assumption that the Swedes who died of Covid-19 would not have died of something else, likely something similar that attacks the lungs like influenza or pneumonia as is the case every year.

So I’ve added those back in and then added on the current 7-day moving average deaths from Covid-19, currently four per day, for the rest of the year of 62 days from October 30.

The result is a predicted total death number – from all causes – of 90,101. And with Sweden’s estimated population for 2020 that’s a death rate of 0.87%.

Which are numbers completely in line with the previous decade and a death rate that is actually below the decade’s average. That is the result of course of extra care and attention paid to infectious diseases this year by the Swedish population, even if they did not go for the extremist lockdown positions of other nations. Businesses stayed open, as did restaurants and cafes, and kids continued to go to school. Mild “social distancing” occurred at the discretion of the population, who followed medical advice but were not under orders or threats from the Police. There was no panic or hysteria among public figures, the public, or their MSM. All very Swedish!

There is no covid death spike on the horizon that would change these basic numbers very much at all by December 31.

The key takeaway here is that if you had never seen or read anything but these numbers you would have no idea that there had ever been a disease epidemic called Covid-19 in Sweden in 2020.

Written by Tom Hunter

November 6, 2020 at 2:16 pm

“It is too early to say”

Zhou Enlai’s famous quote, made during Nixon’s groundbreaking visit to China in 1972, in response to a question about French revolts, was actually not referring to the French Revolution of 1789 but the revolts of 1968.

I was reminded of this while watching the following scenes of people fleeing Paris just the other day before the commencement of a new curfew and lockdown process in response to a second wave of Chinese Lung Rot cases and deaths.

The reason is contained in this graph.

That chart is more than a month old and things have not improved since then for France, or the rest of Europe for that matter. Well – with one notable exception:

Sweden is also experiencing the expected increase in cases, but thanks to their previously despised herd immunity strategy these new cases are not translating into deaths, which is why Sweden is not hitting the panic button and locking themselves into their homes. It’s also why this chart is so painful to look at.

The real tell will come in early January 2021 when the final figures for all deaths in Sweden are confirmed and the excess deaths are seen. If that number is low or statistically insignificant then we’ll know that the Swedish people who died from Chinese Sinus AIDS were the people who would have died from influenza and pneumonia, diseases so similar to Covid-19 that the CDC in the USA has, from the start, tracked daily deaths as “PIC” (Pneumonia, Influenza, Covid-19), knowing how hard it is for post-mortem analysis to confirm the culprit.

Still, even the Europeans must be grateful they’re not run like the US Democrat states of New York and New Jersey.

Incidently, the Zhou link contains probably the best explanation of the reason for the common misinterpretation of Zhou’s comment on France, and also perhaps the perfect explanation for the lockdowns.

“I cannot explain the confusion about Zhou’s comment except in terms of the extent to which it conveniently bolstered a stereotype (as usual with all stereotypes, partly perceptive) about Chinese statesmen as far-sighted individuals who think in longer terms than their Western counterparts,” Freeman said in a follow-up email. “It was what people wanted to hear and believe, so it took” hold.

Written by Tom Hunter

October 31, 2020 at 10:01 am

USA: Riots, Lockdowns and the Damage Done

While it’s the bigger cities like Portland, Seattle, Minneapolis and Chicago that have been the focus of the Burn Loot Murder crowd, smaller places have been hit. The worst being the town of Kenosha, Wisconsin, just a little further up the Western shores of Lake Michigan from Chicago.

But there have been plenty of much smaller places that also got some of the same treatment without the media attention, and the following link is to a guy who decided to travel through some of those places to see the damage. It’s a sad journey.

To take just a small sampling: Atlantic City, NJ, Fort Wayne, IN, Green Bay, WI, and Olympia, WA all underwent significant riots, at least per the normal expectations of life in these relatively low-key cities. Did you hear anything about them? Because I hadn’t, and I’m abnormally attuned to daily media coverage. Only because I personally visited did I learn of the damage.

The “article” is long but worth your time to read as he tours through these forgotten places and talks to forgotten people like Flora Westbrooks, whose salon was burned to the ground in Minneapolis, and Long Her, whose clothing store was looted.

Long Her (L) and Flora Westbrooks (R)

In almost every case these people are not White. Many of them are immigrants from places like Mexico, India, Ethiopia, Somalia…

Maybe the media commentators who reflexively glamorized these riots don’t know or don’t care, but the primary victims — meaning those who feared for their safety, suffered severe material losses, and whose lives were upended — are themselves minorities, and were targeted by activist whites.

He finishes on a sombre note, which is also a poor reflection on the MSM:

The man, an immigrant from Sierra Leone, said the following: “I grew up in a war zone, and I’ve never seen anything like it.” What does it say that these kinds of experiences have barely impinged on the national consciousness? Despite the incredible amount of destruction that I’ve personally witnessed, it’s only a tiny fraction. If I hadn’t made a point to spend six weeks traveling around the country, I never would’ve gotten this information.

Then there is this link to a substack article (these are becoming more common for journalists), Tales from America’s COVID college campuses, which contains a long list of testimonials about the insane conditions of American universities as they open for the start of their year. Here are just a three.

Southern Methodist University: “Students must wear masks outside dorm rooms, cannot visit another dorm, etc. Threatened with draconian honor code violations if they violate the rules and orientation was declared all virtual at the last minute.  Yet today, the athletes, with permission of and active participation by the University, were permitted to organize a BLM march through campus.”

Colorado State University: “My daughter … was there not even 24 hours and was sent to quarantine because she ‘might’ have come into contact with someone who was in contact with someone who tested positive for the virus. They made the students leave their own rooms and moved them into a room and they couldn’t bring their own bedding. The food they drop off is a frozen sandwich, orange, chips and soda. They have to stay there for 14 days and won’t even test them. No outside testing is even allowed. The admin don’t know what they’re doing nor do they let them outside. They make the locks not work.”

Boston College: “This is a horrible way to go to college.  [Daughter] was in tears last night about the prospect of the mandatory immediate quarantine while waiting for the test,… As far as why parents would send their kids back, my daughter has a really good scholarship – [most] of her tuition is paid.  We can’t risk losing it because we don’t have the means to pay for college without good financial aid. What we are doing to this generation of kids is awful … common sense has been missing from this debate for months.”

And in every case classes are being conducted via the now ubiquitous Zoom, even as the students get hit with all the normal charges. I can’t see how they will get away with this for much longer and it is no surprise to see predictions that half of all American universities may close in the next decade.

As awful as the stories about student conditions in 2020 are, the virus has been merely the tipping point for a system whose traditional business model had already broken and which is facing declining numbers of 18 year olds eager to rack up $100,000+ debts for increasingly useless degrees. Like radar and rockets, the disruptive technology of online learning was already here and merely needed a “war” to take off.

Finally there’s this article, A Nation Falling Apart, whose points I fear should be taken note of, even by American optimists like me, although the author seems to be maintaining a sense of humour about it all:

First they came for the toilet paper and kitchen towels, then they came for flour and now they are taking your coins. Yes, the American public sitting out the COVID-19 virus is now having to deal with what is referred as a “small change shortage.”caused apparently by hoarding…

The Federal Reserve has created a U.S. Coin Task Force to address the problem.

Cops have figured out that they have no one on their side and are best served by doing as little as possible when the shooting starts. Policemen have, in fact, been on the receiving end of much of the recent violence.

Predictably as the cops withdraw, whether by choice or by order, gun sales in the USA are through the roof, with millions of them being first-time owners, and with big increases among woman and Blacks.

I knew how to shoot from my time in the Army and CIA but have not actually fired a weapon since 1978 … The first thing we learned was that it was hard to get an appointment with a trainer at a licensed range. It took us weeks to make an appointment and we only got one when there was a cancellation.

And then there’s the booze problem:

I live in Virginia and our state store is constantly running out of everything. A cashier told me that they are selling 300% more booze than normal for this time of year.

If you’re well-stocked on booze and ammo you only need one more thing:

Finally, a family member owns a construction company. He recently said that business is unexpectedly booming, in part because people are building panic rooms, safe havens and even 1960s style fallout shelters in and behind their houses. Most of the construction work is being done as unobtrusively as possible because the clients don’t want their neighbors to know how scared they are.

I don’t think it’s nuclear war they’re scared of!

Dr Goebbels Will Be Pleased

TVNZ today carries a story about an epidemiologist who argues cogently against the lockdown strategy currently decimating the economies of many countries including Australia and New Zealand.

He is described as a ‘controversial epidemiologist.’ Adolf struggles to find anything controversial about the fellow who points out the inconvenient truth that lockdowns are doing far more damage than is the Covid 19 virus.

Perhaps the dimwits who inhabit TVNZ haven’t caught up with the letter from FIVE HUNDRED American doctors to President Trump and the letter from thirteen leading Victorian doctors to their demented and incompetent State Premier, telling them exactly the same thing.

Were they all ‘controversial?

Written by adolffinkensen

September 7, 2020 at 12:17 pm

Posted in Australia

Tagged with ,