No Minister

Posts Tagged ‘SCOTUS

Random Fun III

Another collection of things that don’t justify a post in themselves.

First up, what is it with Senators from Arizona? In this case Democrat Kyrsten Sinema, who has loud clothing choices and is wearing a ring labeled “Fuck Off”.

It’s not entirely a joke either considering that is exactly what’s she’s said (in more polite terms of course) to various Big Ideas from her own party, like a $15/hour minimum wage, votes for some Trump cabinet members, and ending the Senate filibuster on all legislation.

I know there’s stuff she supports that I don’t but I’m beginning to warm to Maverick II.

Second is one of those Big Ideas. There’s a Democrat party activist group that has decided to learn from history and try and avoid another Supreme Court pothole such as the one that happened with Justice Ginsburg hanging on grimly, only to die while a Republican was President.

The “Demand Justice” group has therefore decided to focus on the next oldest Democrat Justice – Stephen Breyer – and as you can see from the van driving around D.C. they’re very blunt about what they want.

Third is an interesting screen capture of some chatroom involving folk from the Middle East discussing the best ways to escape from where they are to head for Germany. You can see the recommended routes marked out, but what amused me was the nations the group thought should be avoided on the trip North, although I’m a little surprised that they think Greece is one path, since none other than the EU Commission President called it “our European shield”.

Fourth is a juicy item for all those folk who can’t argue a point and use links to “Fact Check” sites, like that of Politico’s “Truth-O-Meter”.

On its website, PolitiFact splits its Biden verdicts into “Facts Checks Of Biden” and “Fact Checks About Biden.” Our review of the first 100 days shows 13 fact checks “of Biden,” and 106 fact checks “about Biden.” That’s an eight-to-one disparity.

In other words, they’re much more sensitive about someone “lying” about Biden than they are about Biden lying. 

That’s hardly a surprise. As people’s trust in journalism has declined over the last twenty years, the same journalists started to form “Fact Check” groups where they could write the same stuff and exhibit the same bias that had caused the loss of trust in the first place.

It’s a scam that should have ended long ago, especially when you dig into their “Fact Checks” and find that most are simply arguing a different opinion, not a fact. The reason it has not ended is that Lefty politicians, activists and supporters love the sort of cheap, one-URL-link, argumentum ad verecundiam, gaslighting they get from the likes of Politico.

Following on from the post about New Zealand’s woeful productivity the other day I was reminded of this classic Dilbert question.

Of course there is the situation known as No Money – and irony too.

Written by Tom Hunter

May 19, 2021 at 9:27 am

Meanwhile, Back in the Senate

News that Trump has tested positive for Chinese Lung Rot has thrown yet another piece of dynamite into what has already been the craziest year this century – including 2001.

Meanwhile, as is usually the case with that vast nation, other work moves forward, starting with Amy Coney Barrett’s hearings and Supreme Court vote in the US Senate. It would appear that McConnell has the numbers, and I would not be surprised to learn that he’s had them for months now as he gamed out the results of RBG’s death, which Washington insiders had surely suspected for some time now, gossip networks among the powerful being what they are.

It’s hard to say how the hearings will go. The Democrats have dialed everything up to 11 this year so although I’m not expecting her to be accused of gang rape they’ll probably be something nasty. To which mockery perhaps is the best answer.

Not a bad idea actually. It would certainly make Feinstein choke as the Democrat minority leader of the Senate committee that will lead the hearings.

And in yet another of the Democrat Party’s “senior moments”, word has spread that Democrats are very concerned that Feinstein’s age and recent difficulties processing things will mean she won’t handle Barrett very well. In fact the Left can thank Feinstein for the rise of Barrett, after the foolish comment, “the dogma lives loudly within you”, uttered during hearings on Barrett joining the Seventh Circuit Court a few years ago.

Meantime in the MSM, the 2008 Journolist world of incredibly well-aligned talking points between “different” MSM reporters continues.

Meantime it turns out that Democrats were afraid of diversity the whole time – and that’s before we get to diversity of thought.

Written by Tom Hunter

October 3, 2020 at 5:52 am

Posted in US Politics, USA

Tagged with , ,

SCOTUS & The Senate

Just as a follow-up to yesterday’s post on some of the factors feeding into selecting a new Justice for the US Supreme Court, as well as some possible outcomes.

First is this article that breaks down where McConnell’s 50 votes might come from.

The author lists 45 GOP Senators he thinks will vote for a Trump nominee, and then looks at the remainder:

…he needs five votes from the following seven senators: Joni Ernst, Martha McSally, Mitt Romney, Richard Burr, Lamar Alexander, Susan Collins, and Cory Gardner.

A quick synopsis (see article for more in-depth analysis):

  • Ernst and McSally: Both are running in November, and both are in tight races. But both have futures in a 2nd term Trump administration so might just say screw it and roll the dice.
  • Richard Burr and Lamar Alexander: Both retiring and both are “NeverTrumpers” for the most part. Nothing to lose and not being McCain they’re not going to screw their own party and long-held views just to give Trump a black eye.
  • Mitt Romney: Same. “His dream outcome [is that] Trump gets the nominee confirmed, and that the confirmation energizes the Democrats into beating Trump“. Heh!
  • Collins and Gardner: Both are in fights to win reelection, and both are in purple states trending blue. Collins as a “no and Gardner abstains.

If all five voted to confirm [Romney, Burr, Alexander, Ernst, and McSally], that would give Mitch the 50 he needs, and allow Collins to vote “no” to help herself.  Everybody in the GOP caucus likes Susan Collins. McConnell knows how to play that tune.

Then VP Pence as the tie-breaking vote. McConnell has been gaming this out for a long time. What he does mention that no one else has is the Democrat Senator Joe Manchin, who is barely hanging on against the GOP.

Next is this analysis from the 538 website on the prospects for Senate control by either the GOP of the Democrats.

Summarised thus with the relevant GOP Senators:

  • Alabama (Tommy Tuberville) – 78% Republicans win
  • Georgia (Kelly Loeffler) – 75% Republicans hold
  • Montana (Steve Daines) – 68% Republicans hold
  • Iowa (Jodi Ernst) – 59% Republicans hold
  • Arizona (Martha McSally) – 78% Democrats win
  • Colorado (Cory Gardner) – 68% Democrats win
  • North Carolina (Tom Tillis)– 62% Democrats win
  • Maine (Susan Collins) – 53% Democrats win

Interestingly McSally’s Democrat opponent in the Arizona race is former astronaut Mark Kelly. He flew combat missions in the Gulf War, and then four Shuttle missions. He also has an identical twin brother, Scott Kelly, who piloted two shuttle missions and had three stays onboard the ISS, one of them involving an in-depth analysis of changes between the two twins as a result of one of Scott’s ISS missions that was a year long. Having identical twins for such a study must have been a dream scenario for NASA.

Mark Kelly is also married to former Democrat member of Congress, Gabby Giffords, who was shot and nearly killed in an attempted assassination on January 8, 2011, which itself caused a lot of political ructions and is likely the source of Kelly’s desire to enter politics. He commanded the final shuttle mission a few months later in May, 2011, which indicates that he’s a mentally tough bastard. I think even most astronauts would have quit, especially ones with multiple missions under their belts.

I’d say his odds of winning are more like 100%.

Written by Tom Hunter

September 20, 2020 at 7:24 am

A death is a long time in politics

HOLY SHIT! As if 2020 could not get crazier.

Ruth Bader Ginsburg is dead.

UPDATE: I’ve linked to it in the comments but this is an article very much worth reading to understand the various factors, including precedent, in dealing with Ginsburg’s death.

She has died from complications of pancreatic cancer, having fought cancer several times over the last two decades.

I don’t think many people appreciated it at the time but the sudden death of Supreme Court Justice Anthony Scalia in 2016 electrified the Conservatives in the USA.

I believe it was the primary reason for the GOP holding on to the Senate when it was widely thought they would lose. Whatever wobbles might come from other GOP-nominated Justices like Chief Roberts, Scalia was the rock. His death scared the living shit out of the Conservatives, especially given Trump’s expected loss in the 2016 election. The Supreme Court would be pushed in a Left-wing direction for the first time in decades; it would not just be a “Liberal” replacement as had been the case with two Obama picks for the court.

So now the question is how much this will electrify the Democrat voters. This is the great fear they have had for the last ten years as The Notorious RBG (as she became known) grew old and frail.

The other question is whether Trump and the Mitch McConnell-led Senate will try to replace her before the election, now less than 60 days away. In normal times I would have said that they would not; holding to tradition and all that. Moreover, centrist GOP Senators like Murkowski and Collins would be very unwilling to put their necks on the line at this time. In fact I would be willing to bet that both Murkowski and Romney would vote against any Trump nominee, and possibly other GOP Senators as well.

The filibuster was nuked by Harry Reid when he was the Democrat Leader of the Senate, that was only for lower court appointments, not the Supreme Court. It was also something the GOP warned him not to do, on the simple basis that they might hold power one day. Reid and the Democrats arrogantly ignored that and have paid the price during Trump’s first term as McConnell and company have pushed record numbers of new, Conservative judges onto the benches of every lower court in the USA – some 300 positions now. McConnell’s motto became: “Let no vancancy go unfilled”. And of course he then nuked it for SCOTUS votes so that Gorsuch could be put on the bench in 2017 when to became obvious that the Democrats would stall that vote as revenge for McConnell refusing to vote on Obama’s nominee in 2016.

Then there’s the potential impact on SCOTUS taking a role in the widely-expected fight over ballots in this election, considering what happened in the 2000 Presidential election when the SCOTUS overruled the Florida State Supreme Court and stopped the review of ballots, allowing the state to be called for George W Bush. The 2020 election was already shaping up to legally leave even that one in the dust and all eyes would turn to SCOTUS sooner or later. Would a 5-3 decision be accepted in such an environment? What choice would Chief Justice Roberts have though in the face of a 4-4 stalemate?

But perhaps this will all be moot if this decision frightens Democrat voters as much as the Scalia death did Conservatives in 2016. Even if not enough to push Biden over the line, it might solidify the Democrats already good prospects for taking the Senate.

“the dogma lives loudly within you”

Paradoxically, would that prospect finally cause McConnell to go nuclear now? This election itself just went to DEFCON 1.

Three last words to explain the terror that Democrats must be feeling:

Amy Coney Barret

They live in South Bend, Indiana and have seven children: five biological children and two children adopted from Haiti. Her youngest biological child has special needs. Barrett is a practicing Roman Catholic.

Written by Tom Hunter

September 19, 2020 at 1:17 pm

The Battle of The Bilge

The Dopey Democrats, that is.

Image result for kavanaugh

It appears now that Judge Brett Kavanaugh will be installed as a judge of the SCOTUS.

The Democratic party has expended a very large proportion of it’s already dwindling political capital on a campaign to denigrate the nominee and frustrate his appointment.  Readers do not need me to remind them of the sordid details of industrial scale fraud and lies employed.

But all to no avail.  One is left to wonder whether for the Democrats it was all worth it.  I’m of the view they have blundered badly.  In an all out, anything goes (and it did) campaign to knock over Judge Kavanaugh they seem not to have considered the possibility they might fail.  (You’d think they’s have learned after 2016)

All the treasure spent but no tactical victory.  Now consider the strategic scenario. 

As a result of their appalling behaviour, they have incensed and aroused millions of Republican and Independent voters who normally would have stayed home for the mid term elections.  Now, as a result of the Democrats stupidity, these people will all make sure to vote in November. 

They thought their farrago of lies and deceit would cause women voters to turn away from the Republicans but accounts now are emerging of widespread anger among America’s wives, mothers and daughters at the prospect of their respective husbands, sons and fathers being treated by the Democrats in the same way they treated Brett Kavanaugh.

It will not surprise me one little bit if, in November, the Republicans retain both the House and the Senate with increases to their majorities in both houses.

Then the Democrats can sit back and watch the next few SCOTUS appointments and wonder where they went wrong.

Written by adolffinkensen

September 28, 2018 at 7:08 am

Posted in US Politics, USA

Tagged with