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Posts Tagged ‘Sweden

Our Changing World

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There’s been a political earthquake in Sweden overnight:

Sweden’s right-wing parties combined to win a remarkable, if slim, election victory on Wednesday, buoyed by surging support for a far-right nationalist party, the Sweden Democrats, an electoral convulsion expected to shake national politics and likely end eight years of rule by the center-left.

But it’s been coming for some time as crime has risen relentlessly and Sweden’s famed Centre-Left consensus on all matters began to fade due to hubristic, ideological and frankly stupid decisions by the The Powers That Be, starting with mass immigration from the Middle East:

Over the last twenty years the Sweden Democrats have gone from being a “extremist fringe party” at nearly zero percent in the polls to twenty percent plus , while the Social Democrats have dropped from 45% to 30%, having ruled the nation for all but 15 years since 1932.

I don’t envy the new government because so many of Sweden’s problems are now so deeply embedded that it’s tough to see how they can be turned around, even though a majority – a very slim majority – now see the problems because they’re in their face. The following has been said in other ways but I was struck by this quote, which is not from that article but one I was reading about the great Trans-TERF wars:

Robert Anton Wilson famously said, ” It only takes 20 years for a liberal to become a conservative without changing a single idea. ” Whereas those who would now be defamed as TERFs were on the far bloody cutting edge of leftist politics a generation ago, they now find themselves outdated or, as the kids like to say, ” irrelevant.” Without having changed a single idea, they find themselves labeled not as bold freedom warriors fighting the good fight against oppression but as hateful reactionaries who stand in the way of true progress.

But that fits with this final paragraph from the article on Sweden:

Even though the revolution is happening slowly and is being fought tooth-and-nail by the globalist/World Economic Forum elites, it is happening. Populist and culturally conservative forces are merging in the face of an existential threat created by governments who loathed their own people and liked nothing more than cheap labor and a compliant base of bought voters. If this revolution is surfacing in Sweden, of all places, then the tidal wave is building that will sweep over Europe…and maybe America and Canada, too.

And New Zealand?

Written by Tom Hunter

September 18, 2022 at 12:34 pm

The Real Criminals

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People who won’t get vaxxed. People who parade through the “sacred” halls of the US Congress. But that’s for another post. This one is about ordinary criminals.

In these two posts – Do The Crime. Do The Time 1 and Part 2) I looked at the failure of “Progressive” crime policies in the USA, where things like bail reform and reduced charging thresholds, among other changes, have led to surge in violent crime across the nation, especially in Blue cities.

But the incredible thing is that they are pursuing criminals with harsh measures – just not the criminals that normal, sane, based people would recognise:

It was a little more than a year ago—right before Thanksgiving, as COVID-19 raged—that Jessica committed her crime: She let her 7-year-old son and his friend, age 5, play at the park while she went to buy a turkey.

For this, she faced criminal charges, as well as being listed for 25 years on Arizona’s Central Registry, a secret blacklist that functions similarly to the sex offender registry but is less publicly accessible.

Parenting kids is tough enough without dealing with this sort of shit.

Then there’s the treatment of the kids themselves as sex offenders:

“the fourth-grade students were playing a game of tag that escalated when a boy began making inappropriate comments and movements toward the girls. One of the boys also wrapped his arms around one of the girls.”

The boy has been charged with a fourth-degree sexual offense. Even if he avoids prison time, under Maryland law someone convicted with a fourth-degree sexual offense will be put on a sexual offender registry for fifteen years. This casts serious doubt on whether he will ever go to college or find gainful employment.

Or “gun crimes”:

The incident arose during a classroom discussion at Westridge Middle School on Sept. 18, 2019, when a young girl was asked, theoretically, if she could kill any five people in the room, whom she would pick. The 13-year-old girl then pointed to four fellow students and herself, using her hand to mimic a “finger gun.” She was subsequently sent to the principal’s office, where the school resource officer recommended that she be arrested. With the principal’s approval, the school resource officer then took the girl outside, handcuffed and arrested her, transported her to a juvenile detention center, and charged her with a felony.

As this article says:

Parents are relentlessly criticized for having 27-year-old basement dwellers, but has anyone considered that it has something to do with the fact that they’ve all been raised in a fear state with no autonomy or freedom?

Then there are things like this from Sweden, where a young man was attending the trial of the men who had raped and tortured him:

When the alleged rapists erupted into laughter as video footage of the abuse was being played for the court, Friberg stood up and made the Nazi salute. In response, the defendants became irate and had to be detained. The trial was subsequently adjourned.

Adjourned so that more weighty matters could be attended to, namely his “offending” them:

When asked by Kvállposten why he resorted to the use of this particular gesture, Kenny replied: “I did it because it was the quickest thing I could come up with to offend them, in the heat of the moment.”

Well we can’t have that. The wheels of Justice grind slowly but finely….

Later that day, Friberg was charged with incitement against an ethnic group, which he was later found guilty of.

Because of course he was. He’s in good company though:

On Monday, Denmark’s high-power court convicted Inger Stoejberg, who served as the country’s immigration minister between 2015-19, for ordering the separation of refugees couples if the woman was under 18.

Stoejberg’s 2016 order, as she argues, was aimed at stamping out the practice of child brides who were being imported into the country in the wake of the migrant wave. “A total of 23 couples were separated, with the wives ranging in age from 15 to 17 years,” Germany’s DW News reported.

The so-called Impeachment Court, specially set up for Stoejberg’s trial, “agreed that the order had violated Danish law and the European Convention on Human Rights,” the TV network Euronews reported.

The court’s judgment cannot be challenged and the former minister is expected to serve the 60-day sentence. “The verdict cannot be appealed and the jail sentence is unconditional, meaning that it must be served,” the BBC reported.

Sixty days is a pretty light sentence though so I’m sure she was fine (I mean, come on, Danish woman’s prisons). It’s also nice that they merely labeled her as a member of the “centre-right Venstre Party”, rather than Extreme Far Right. I guess that means the “centre-right” still serves a purpose, at least for being locked up.

Written by Tom Hunter

February 12, 2022 at 6:00 am

Posted in Europe, Law and Order, USA

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Moby Dick

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It seems appropriate to thus start this little Wednesday morning collection of tasty graph and cartoon bites with something published two years ago that has turned out to be very accurate.

Call him Ishmael.

You can see why the MSM misses Trump. Now they have to put their double standards on full display.

In other predictions of the future this one for 2020, written in 1988 is awesome (RPG stands for Role Player Game).

When forecasting the future though it’s usually good to look at the past as well, as this graph of disease pandemics in Sweden does.

Here’s a graph about vaccine passports and mandates, since we seem to be moving on from lockdown mandates and mask mandates, which show similar failures. Here’s the detailed article from which the graph is taken, An inconvenient truth – vaccine passports don’t work:

Sometimes the future is entirely predictable, as with German power prices, courtesy of almost twenty years and €500 billion spent on the fabulous Energiewende (“Energy Transition”) project to get all that juicy renewable power from the wind and the sun. In such latitudes it’s more the wind but it makes no difference anyway. If your question in response to this is, “But the wind is free, why is power so expensive now?”, then you should SFTU on this subject for the rest of time. Also see this as New Zealand circa 2035 if we keep pushing the same stuff. Of course we could go nuclear?

Finally I’ll leave you with this graph, courtesy of Michael Reddell’s latest updated analysis of housing costs in New Zealand, especially in relation to incomes, Price/income ratios, with the key insight:

At best, it takes 33 years for price/income ratios to get back to three – the sort of ratio seen in large chunks of the US, in cities large and small. At best, it would take almost a quarter of a century to get back to a price/income ratio of four.

Basically the only way my kids are going to be able to buy a house is if we leverage the hell out of our existing one, and even then it may mean not living in Auckland. As Bob Jones has pointed out, now linking to BNZ economist Tony Alexander, they may not be living in NZ at all once the Chinese Xi Snot controls are gone and they get the chance at higher incomes, lower costs and not being locked up.

You should check out Reddell’s earlier posts on the housing problem, which I’ve quoted a few times here.

Frankly I can no longer see this being resolved, given that, as he points out, both the leaders of the National and Labour Parties said the other day that significant price drops – say 25% – would not be acceptable. Why? It would simply put us back two years. Although buyers in the last two years would be looking at negative equity, that’s a temporary situation that can be worked out of and has been in the past.

If you’re not willing to unwind a clearly screwed-up marketplace by even a small amount because some recent entrants will feel some (book-value) pain then you’re basically admitting that the current situation of relentless and ever larger price increases will continue, which will lock out a lot more potential entrants, particularly the young. The graph above is a “best-case” scenario if price drops are not permitted – and it shows an awful situation for people wanting to enter the housing market.

In a sense our housing market has become rather like any welfare system or drug addiction: the more people who are hooked on it the less chance there is of changing it. The only difference is that with housing it’s the newest entrants who have the most to lose.

Which means that what we have here is a Ponzi scheme, and they never end well. But they do end, irrespective of the authorities.

Written by Tom Hunter

December 15, 2021 at 11:04 am

“The dark night of…

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… fascism is always descending in the United States and yet lands only in Europe.”

That’s a famous comment from American essayist Tom Wolfe in one of his books, but he was actually quoting a French socialist writer named Jean-François Revel. Wolfe included it in response to the usual dull carping from European “intellectuals” about the USA in the 1960’s, but the way things are going in America I’m not so amused by the comment anymore.

Still, Europe, despite all their pretensions and denials, sure does look like it’s once again heading in that direction with news like this, EU must consider mandatory Covid jabs, says Von der Leyen:

The EU must consider mandatory vaccination in response to the spread of the “highly contagious” Omicron Covid variant across Europe, the European Commission president has said.

“One-third of the European population is not vaccinated … not each and every one can be vaccinated – children, for example, or people with special medical conditions – but the vast majority could.

“How we can encourage and potentially think about mandatory vaccination within the European Union, this needs discussion. This needs a common approach, but it is a discussion that I think has to be met.”

Well, at least she’s not into jabbing kids under the age of twelve, which is good since their statistical risk of sickness or injury from Chinese Lung Rot is almost zero and kid-to-adult transmission does not seem to be a thing. I see New Zealand is full speed ahead on those plans anyway.

That link also has a a cool little map of Europe that you can click on to show each nation’s current situation. Note that Sweden – whose “let-it-rip” approach (not what they did actually) – was supposed to be a screaming disaster, is doing much better than central Europe and as well as hard-ass nations like Spain and Italy.

The thing is that all these actions are merely the latest in a series of comparisons between the EU and the old Fascists that are starting to become a little too close for comfort. Here’s a comparison of Ms von der Leyen’s Presidential voting form with that of You Know Who.

As well as a comparison of the whole Euro project…

While the EU President is only talking about 100% mandatory vaccinations, Austria are actually doing them, plus the return of lockdowns:

Austrian Chancellor Alexander Schallenberg announced in a press conference Friday that COVID-19 vaccination will become mandatory for everyone beginning February 1, 2022. As the fourth wave of the COVID-19 pandemic hits Western Europe, Austria is the first country to make COVID-19 vaccination mandatory. 

Also Germany:

Unvaccinated people across Germany will soon be excluded from nonessential stores, restaurants and sports and cultural venues, Chancellor Angela Merkel announced Thursday, and parliament will consider a general vaccine mandate as part of efforts to curb coronavirus infections.

You can take the girl out of East Germany but you can’t take East Germany out of the girl.

I don’t know if Merkel will require the unvaccinated to wear anything for identification. But I have a feeling they’ll have to show their papers. Perhaps she’ll be inspired by past efforts like this card shown on the left.

That’s the famous German Health Pass Card, of 1938, the Gesundheitspass Des Hauptamtes Für Volksgesundheit Der NSDAP.

That card was implemented with the backing in large measure of the German medical profession, half of whom joined the Nazi Party.

To what degree the unvaccinated will be vilified is not yet known, but as other measures fail and cases (and death rates) rise again, it would be a surprise if they were not, since governments will need a scapegoat and the ground is being prepared in thought and deed by separating the two groups and making it quite clear from whence comes the danger to the “fully vaccinated”. The public can take it from there:

During the years of the Nazi regime, German doctors frequently argued that Jews spread disease. Reflecting common themes in Nazi propaganda, these medical professionals repeatedly pushed the false claim that Jews were especially responsible for outbreaks of typhus—a deadly contagious disease spread by lice.

But perhaps I shouldn’t taunt the Germans specifically or the Euros in general. Just take a look at one of the camps that’s been built in the Northern Territory of Australia.

Also, here’s the NT government’s web page on Covid-19 quarantine:

  • stay in the person’s allocated room, including on any veranda space allocated to the room, unless permitted by an authorised officer; and
  • when not in their room, or on their veranda, residents must take all reasonable measures to stay at least 1.5 metres away from any other person in the quarantine facility, except for the person’s spouse, de facto partner, child or parent; and
  • wear a face mask when outside their room unless an authorised officer permits the person to remove the face mask; and….

They’re very serious about this too. Recently the NT police arrested three Aboriginal teenagers (aged 15,16, and 17) for allegedly escaping a “voluntary” quarantine camp. NT Chief Minister Michael Gunner…

… said the escape could mean an extension of the time the teenagers were required to stay in quarantine. “Absconding from Howard Springs isn’t just dangerous — it is incredibly stupid,” he said “Because we will catch you and there will be consequences.”

Here’s the kicker:

All three teens tested negative for [Chinese] COVID the day before they bolted. They never actually HAD the China flu. They were locked up for coming into contact with someone who had it.”

Some months ago, when I wrote about the Australian situation in Civil Liberties Have Gone To The Dogs, I included this little poster, which met scoffing denials that the comparison was ridiculous.

I’ve no doubt that most people in New Zealand still think that. Which is precisely why it is entirely possible for all the above to occur in New Zealand in 2022 if we have a substantial rise in case numbers in the Autumn. Take no notice of PM Ardern’s statement the other day (in response to a direct question) that we would never follow Austria’s path. She simply is not believable.

Written by Tom Hunter

December 5, 2021 at 5:00 am

What we’ve got here is a failure to communicate

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From the government that is, which is not surprising, even with a Prime Minister with a Bachelor’s degree in the subject who has been lauded as a great communicator from the start.

The real problem is sooner or later you get a reality so ugly that no amount of communication – otherwise known as spin and bullshit – can cover up for it.

So, having saved us from Covid for 18 months, our government has just surrendered to the virus, announcing a “transition plan” to loosen restrictions while Covid is still spreading in the community. This is exactly the sort of insanity which has led to outbreaks and mass death in the UK and NSW, and there’s no reason to think it will end any differently here.

I’m just glad I don’t live in Auckland (and glad that there will still be a hard border to slow the coming shitshow’s spread to the rest of Aotearoa). But I’m also sorry for everyone who lives there. You deserved better than this. And you deserve a government which will keep you safe, rather than sacrificing your lives for a pack of greedy whiners.

Meanwhile, I guess Aotearoa’s days of being a “model Covid response” are over. The government has just decided to surrender to the virus, because they were sick of the whining from the Auckland business class. They’ve basicly become quislings for the virus, just like Boris Johnson and Gladys Berejiklian. And we’ll be paying the price for their cowardice in deaths and long Covid.

That’s Hard Lefty, NoRightTurn, who at least has the reputation of brutal honesty when his own side lets him down – which is often – although you should note the deliberate exclusion of Victoria from his list, thanks to it’s Lefty, Lefty, Lefty reputation and government. I guess he’s a fan of Dan Andrews, in spite of “outbreaks” and “mass death”. I’ll be interested to see how Chris “Wonder Woman” Trotter copes, given his recent, tub-thumping demands for Virus Justice.

But this is so typical of the Left; the mentality of waging yet another Moral Equivalent of War: that’s Jimmy Carter on energy in 1979, to go with similar outstanding successes such as LBJ’s “War on Poverty”, Nixon’s “War on Drugs”, and GW’s “War on Terror”.

The trouble actually goes all the way back to the original phrase of early Yank philosopher and “progressive” William James, who pondered how to…

…”sustain political unity and civic virtue in the absence of war or a credible threat” and “sound a rallying cry for service in the interests of the individual and the nation.”

It’s a crap idea, but the Old Left just can’t let go of it (Trotter on The Coming War Against Climate Change), for the obvious reason that all other means of persuasion have failed them.

The basic problem is that nothing outside of war can actually be turned into one, in either strategy, tactics or final victory. This is why you had Trotter weeks ago thundering against The Business Class “selfishly” attacking the brave elimination strategy and why we now have NRT moaning about “surrendering to the virus” (I know, right? These viruses are fanatics. Fanatics I tell you).

Yes, after firebombing Tokyo and most other cities into rubble and dust we need something else. Unfortunately the mRNA vaccines have not turned out to be the Atomic Bomb for the virus. We’ve nuked Hiroshima and Nagasaki and the little bastards still won’t surrender. Let’s look for other targets on which to unleash our rage.

Getting back to the specifics of what the government announced yesterday, let me return, once again, to what the Swedish epidemiologist said about lockdowns in April 2020:

Getting out of the lockdowns will be the big challenge since the question is around which restrictions can be lifted, followed by watching for upticks in cases and deaths at each stage, with increases met by what? Reinstating the restriction?

Like an alcoholic, Adern has now accepted the first truth that’s been obvious to most other non-warmongers for a long time now: opening up had to happen sooner or later and when it does there will be “the sad realities that come with it – cases, hospitalisations and deaths.”.

I’m not going to knock her for this, even if it comes awfully late into this brutal strategy. It’s a glimmer of light. What she’s actually doing is backing into the scenario explained in the Swedish quote; she’s making it clear by implication that although cases, hospitalisations and deaths are coming, that will NOT mean another lockdown. She appears to have finally reached a point where she’s not going to follow all the advice of her “experts”. Whether that’s because of political reality or not is not something I care about.

The fiddly, vague bullshit of “steps” is her technical “out” from the purity of “levels”, with L4 lockdowns and the crude rules of L3 and below. Hell, we might even be looking at L3 or such just on specific places like small towns or suburbs – which would actually be the track, trace and quarantine option that health authorities worldwide planned for epidemics before the insanity of lockdowns was embraced in 2020.

She’s not explicit about that. She can’t be at this stage, but she wants all her worshippers (especially the MSM) to get used to this idea and she’s hoping that the vax rate and reduced lethality of Delta will mean the numbers, especially the last two, don’t grow relentlessly.

I think we will see jumps in those numbers, but I don’t think it will be terrifying, let alone exponential growth leading to “mass death”, aside from the MSM’s “If It Bleeds, It Leads” hysteria. Personally I think that it’s a smart move (finally), even if the “steps” stuff is eye-rolling nonsense.

When it comes to communication this should not be forgotten either, because we shouldn’t rush to war.

Written by Tom Hunter

October 5, 2021 at 7:00 am

Xinese Xi Snot Graphing

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It’s been a while since I looked at the progress around the world against Xi Jinping’s bastard child experiment.

Here’s a comparison I’ve not seen before: Israel vs Sweden.

South Korea with yet another demonstration of how masks don’t work against this virus and never have.

Comparisons within the USA.

Here’s a fun one. Try to guess which state out of these two had the tougher policies on social distancing, lockdowns, masks, vaccinations and other policies over the past eighteen months.

Getting away from all those messy continental borders that can’t be completely sealed, here’s the good old island state of Hawaii again, from just over a month ago.

Obviously all these measures need to be tested to destruction.

Written by Tom Hunter

September 19, 2021 at 10:00 am

The Delta and the Vax

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Who likes charts?

Of course you all like charts. They provide clear, concise information at a glance. A picture’s worth a thousand words and all that.

Herewith four charts showing four aspects of the Chinese Xi Snot virus across three countries – Israel, Sweden and India.

First up is their vaccination rates (fully vaccinated)

Next are their confirmed case rates.

The result for intensive care (India’s data is not good enough to be included here.

The all important Case Fatality Rate (CFR). The CFR is the total number of deaths divided by the total number of people that have the disease’s symptoms. In contrast, the IFR (Infection Fatality Rate) is the total number of deaths divided by the total number of people that carry the infection.

Unlike the Flu there are no solid estimates yet for national Covid-19 IFRs since the virus has not been around long enough to build the data around that key factor of people who get infected but show no symptoms and do not get tested. In the USA the CDC annually calculates the IFR for flu since it has decades of data that allow it to be confident that its figures are correct. The flu IFR is about 0.1% and there are no age-specific breakdowns of that figure.

Nevertheless, at the end of 2020 the CDC did try to calculate the IFR values of Covid-19 (Alpha) and even break it up into age-specific estimates, which are now very low at:

  • 0.003% for 0–19 years
  • 0.02% for 20–49 years
  • 0.5% for 50–69 years
  • 5.4% for 70+ years.

Israel has the latest Delta variant raging away but with no increase in the death rate, while similarly vaccinated Sweden has seen only a slight uptick in cases, while India moves along seemingly unchanged. Given that Israel pushed early and fast on their vaccination programme, the implication is that the population’s immune systems there are not as well protected against variants of the virus as in India and Sweden, likely because their immunity has been built more from exposure to the disease than to vaccinations.

On a side note the tiny island nation of Iceland, which has something like 71% of its population fully vaccinated has made a similar announcement to that of the Prime Minister of Australia in abandoning a zero-Covid-19 policy:

Icelandic health authorities hoped to achieve herd immunity through widespread vaccination, but those hopes were dashed when the fourth wave of infection began in late summer 2021. Local data shows, however, that vaccinated individuals are less likely to contract the SARS-CoV-2 virus and that vaccines are very effective at staving off serious illness.

Based on this information, the government’s current policy is to curb the spread of infection using mild social restrictions, rather than imposing harsh restrictions in order to eliminate the virus entirely. This policy allows Icelandic society to operate as openly as possible at any given moment.

The implications for New Zealand are clear:

  • Opening up the nation internally and across the borders will mean Covid-19 variations spreading through the population.
  • A vaccination rate of 70% across the whole population seems to be the best that might be achieved.
  • Vaccinations will not provide full protection against the variants, though it will greatly reduce the chances of severe illness and death in the most vulnerable, people aged 70+.
  • Herd immunity cannot be achieved by vaccination alone, especially given the targeted nature of the mRNA vaccines, and that their immunisation potency appears to decline in a matter of months (hence the talk of ongoing booster shots).
  • The death rates for these variants will not approach even the CFR flu-like levels of Covid-19 (Alpha).
  • Therefore future decisions on lockdowns should not be based on case numbers but on hospitalisation and deaths.
  • Push hard for treatments that work against Covid-19 infections, starting with monoclonal antibody treatment, which appears to be very successful.

Frankly there should be no further lockdowns at this point.

Written by Tom Hunter

September 3, 2021 at 3:32 pm

Swedish Death 2020 – and Lockdowns

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The last in this series.

As usual it takes until well into January before a nation’s death statistics are settled, and this is even more true of Chinese Lung Rot deaths.

Here then the final update for Sweden’s death toll in 2020, both total and for Covid-19.

The annual death rate for 2020 was 0.94%, compared to the average of 0.92% for the previous decade. Moreover the death toll is lower than it was in 2010-2012 and the same as 2013. I don’t recall any great wave of hysteria about those years.

You’ll recall that it was predicted that Sweden was going to suffer worse than other nations because it had not gone full lockdown (true) and was instead going for “herd immunity” (false). Actually they went for “social distancing” and kept their schools, cafes and the like open. To put it bluntly, the excess deaths are just not there: the people who died with or of Covid-19 would have died of the flu or Pneumonia instead, just as they do every other year. The Swedes can be well satisfied that they didn’t crush their economy with extremist lockdowns.

Speaking of which, this miracle happened the other day in the USA.

So now that OrangeManBad is safely gone the US MSM can start reporting stories about the failure of the lockdown approach and key politicians in the USA can start saying that they have to re-open their cities and states before they completely destroy their local economies – even as those states face levels of Covid-19 case numbers and deaths that triggered the original lockdowns months ago. In some cases, worse.

Also, so much for the Leftie theory that the virus was done with urban areas (controlled by Democrats) and was now sweeping into the lands of the Low Sloping Foreheads (controlled by those hick Republicans).

As noted months ago by Professor Johan Giesecke (one of the world’s leading epidemiologists, former Chief Scientist of the European Centre for Disease Prevention and Control, and an advisor to the director general of the WHO):

Getting out of the lockdowns will be the big challenge since the question is around which restrictions can be lifted, followed by watching for upticks in cases and deaths at each stage, with increases met by what? Reinstating the restriction?

And even with vaccines it seems. These people just can’t let go of their sense of control. Here’s the UK, which went for extreme lockdown – and still is.

And New Zealand:

Interesting that in the UK and NZ the death rate has been slowly increasing in recent years, apparently the result of ageing populations and declining birth rates.

Written by Tom Hunter

January 22, 2021 at 7:00 am

Swedish Numbers Update

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Since I wrote this post on November 6 about Sweden’s death toll from Chinese Lung AIDS – And in Other Numbers – there has been some excitement among the commentariat with the appearance of the expected second wave of the virus as the Northern Winter commences.

Herewith the good old Worldometer graph for the nation:

As a result I thought it time to update my spreadsheet from October 30 to December 4th (the latest date for which Statista has Total Deaths from all causes) and see where Sweden stands:

The numbers speak for themselves. Even if the current daily death rate from Chinese Sinus Rot continued to December 31 – and of course it is dropping – Sweden’s annual death toll will be almost exactly the average population death rate for the last decade of 0.92%.

And in US news on this matter of counting deaths., here’s the John Hopkins medical article that was rapidly pulled – but not fast enough to miss the WayBack Machine – A closer look at U.S. deaths due to COVID-19.

Genevieve Briand, assistant program director of the Applied Economics master’s degree program at Hopkins, critically analyzed the effect of COVID-19 on U.S. deaths using data from the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) in her webinar titled “COVID-19 Deaths: A Look at U.S. Data.”


She explained that the significance of COVID-19 on U.S. deaths can be fully understood only through comparison to the number of total deaths in the United States.

After retrieving data on the CDC website, Briand compiled a graph representing percentages of total deaths per age category from early February to early September, which includes the period from before COVID-19 was detected in the U.S. to after infection rates soared. 

Comparing to total deaths is the smart thing to do as well as looking at what has happened to other types of deaths. And the result?

Analysis of deaths per cause in 2018 revealed that the pattern of seasonal increase in the total number of deaths is a result of the rise in deaths by all causes, with the top three being heart disease, respiratory diseases, influenza and pneumonia.

“This is true every year. Every year in the U.S. when we observe the seasonal ups and downs, we have an increase of deaths due to all causes,” Briand pointed out.

When Briand looked at the 2020 data during that seasonal period, COVID-19-related deaths exceeded deaths from heart diseases. This was highly unusual since heart disease has always prevailed as the leading cause of deaths. However, when taking a closer look at the death numbers, she noted something strange.

As Briand compared the number of deaths per cause during that period in 2020 to 2018, she noticed that instead of the expected drastic increase across all causes, there was a significant decrease in deaths due to heart disease. Even more surprising, as seen in the graph below, this sudden decline in deaths is observed for all other causes.

Looks like the USA has discovered an incredible cure for elderly people who die from heart disease and other diseases.

Written by Tom Hunter

December 10, 2020 at 8:17 am

And in Other Numbers

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And while we watch the good little Democrat machines of Philadelphia and Atlanta slowly, slowly creep Biden’s numbers closer to Trump’s here are some other numbers to discuss.

Some months ago when the fighting over the Swedish approach to Chinese Lung Rot disease was first cranking up I decided to start a spreadsheet tracking the death tolls of that country, as reported by Worldometer for covid-19 and Statista for total deaths, population and so forth.

First up is the latest decade of Annual deaths and the population for Sweden, plus the resulting daily death toll and Annual death rate.

As you can see the annual deaths are fairly stable around 90,000 per year from all causes. As the population has increased the death rate has slowly declined from about 0.95% to 0.90%.

Then we come to 2020. According to Statista the total deaths from all causes as of October 30 was 75,644, or 249 per day. The years 2015 and 2016 had the same daily death rate of 249, and the ten-year average was 248.

Subtracting out all the covid-19 deaths as of October 30 (5,972) – and assuming for the moment that these were people who would not have died but for the disease – yields an expected year-end death toll much lower than anything in the last decade: 83,881.

But of course it’s a false assumption that the Swedes who died of Covid-19 would not have died of something else, likely something similar that attacks the lungs like influenza or pneumonia as is the case every year.

So I’ve added those back in and then added on the current 7-day moving average deaths from Covid-19, currently four per day, for the rest of the year of 62 days from October 30.

The result is a predicted total death number – from all causes – of 90,101. And with Sweden’s estimated population for 2020 that’s a death rate of 0.87%.

Which are numbers completely in line with the previous decade and a death rate that is actually below the decade’s average. That is the result of course of extra care and attention paid to infectious diseases this year by the Swedish population, even if they did not go for the extremist lockdown positions of other nations. Businesses stayed open, as did restaurants and cafes, and kids continued to go to school. Mild “social distancing” occurred at the discretion of the population, who followed medical advice but were not under orders or threats from the Police. There was no panic or hysteria among public figures, the public, or their MSM. All very Swedish!

There is no covid death spike on the horizon that would change these basic numbers very much at all by December 31.

The key takeaway here is that if you had never seen or read anything but these numbers you would have no idea that there had ever been a disease epidemic called Covid-19 in Sweden in 2020.

Written by Tom Hunter

November 6, 2020 at 2:16 pm