No Minister

Posts Tagged ‘Covid-19 Vaccinations

The song that never ends

with one comment

The following fits in well with a previous post (Run Hamster, Run) about the seemingly never-ending sets of hoops that populations are being made to jump through to get to freedom, or even just some ordinary pre-2020 normality.

What we are seeing here is truly “progressive”.

But this little video captures the changing story even better, except in this case, as we count down from 100%. This is actually “Regressive”.

Written by Tom Hunter

November 28, 2021 at 12:03 am

The Euros get restless

with 2 comments

There was the famous Year of Revolution in 1848, when protests and riots, sparking to full-blown revolutions, exploded across most of Western Europe.

I don’t think that’s what we’re seeing here since 21st century people live with a degree of ease and comfort that the people of 1848 would regard as possible only for Royalty.

Still, you have to wonder what electoral earthquakes might come from all this in upcoming elections.

Also, as you watch this, note that PM Ardern recently said – in response to a point-blank question about whether we would see a 100% mandatory vaccination programme here like that of Austria – that she would never do that, and remember this…

Know that Europe is now having a fourth wave and that the US Dow futures plunged more than 800 points last night with news from South Africa of a new Covid-19 variant called B.1.1.529 variant that appears to have a high number of mutation (about 30 in its spike protein, which will likely render it immune to current vaccines. It’s been given a name, Omicron. What happened to Epsilon? I liked that one.

All of which is 100% predictable for coronaviruses. If you think that 2022 will see us past the world of lockdowns, masks and the vaccination treadmill of booster shots then you are an optimist. I normally am too, but not about this, after almost two years of watching government responses around the world.

Austria

Austria decided to return to a full lockdown due to more cases. It’s the fourth one since 2020 and they’ve used those cases to justify closing non-essential stores and allowing people to leave their houses for a valid reason. The government is also enforcing a vaccine mandate in February 2022.

So 40,000 people came out to protest.

Belgium

I’m surprised since the Belgians hardly do anything and Brussels is possibly the worlds most boring city.

Holland

Italy

This one is a lot more peaceful, but a very large protest.

Written by Tom Hunter

November 27, 2021 at 7:45 am

Psycho-pathology in politics

with 4 comments

That of course was the title of the infamous piece published by Labour MP John A Lee just two days before the sainted Mickey Savage karked it back in 1940.

Labour never forgave him of course, as is their wont: nor, to be fair, did he forgive them. But the reality is that Lee’s crack has been true of all too many political leaders in history. Not just political leaders either. Several years ago an article was published that laid out the similarities between business leaders and psychopaths:

The hallmarks of the psychopathic personality involve egocentric, grandiose behavior, completely lacking empathy and conscience. Additionally, psychopaths may be charismatic, charming, and adept at manipulating one-on-one interactions. In a corporation, one’s ability to advance is determined in large measure by a person’s ability to favorably impress his or her direct manager. Unfortunately, certain of these psychopathic qualities – in particular charm, charisma, grandiosity (which can be mistaken for vision or confidence) and the ability to “perform” convincingly in one-on-one settings – are also qualities that can help one get ahead in the business world.

I’m sure the average Lefty will have no problem making that association, also with certain Right-WIng politicians. Less so with their own idols of worship, like Michael Gunner, Chief Minister of the Northern Territory in Australia:

I see he’s had heart surgery recently so one can hope.

Then there’s this asshole, shown here on the cover of his book, published at a time when the US MSM was still slobbering over him.

Cuomo eventually got his beans because he’s another prick who felt entitled enough to get grabby with attractive young woman who strayed into his orbit.

But as this NY Post article put it, however low you think this scum could be,…. “There’s always more, and it’s always worse than you thought. Much worse”:

That’s one lesson from the state Assembly report, which reveals new details of Cuomo’s venality. From sexual harassment to lies about nursing home deaths and his forbidden use of state employees to help finish his book, the governor is convincingly portrayed as a greedy, dishonest man without a shred of decency. 

All of this has actually been known for some time, but you had to be reading Right-Wing news sources like RedState and Powerline to know because the MSM did not want to know, and certainly didn’t want voters to know, until the very end when it became undeniable:

The thing that I always wanted him to be hammered for was the very thing that was ignored even at the end:

The biggest lapse is how the report fails to deal with the impact of Cuomo’s infamous March 25 order of last year that required nursing homes to admit discharged hospital patients infected with COVID-19. The order also barred the sites from even testing the patients until they were admitted. 

Exactly, and the resulting death toll was in the thousands. At best he’s getting done for sexual harassment, his shitty book deal worth millions of dollars (a form of corrupt graft in itself, since the book was never likely to be a best-seller recovering the “investment”) and for lying through his teeth about the number of people he killed in those nursing homes:

Key among those is showing how Cuomo overruled Department of Health employees and reduced the number of reported nursing home deaths by about 35 percent on the very days he was negotiating the contract for his book deal on pandemic leadership.

It’s entirely typical that psychopaths don’t get done for the worst crimes they committed. Still, like Al Capone getting jailed for tax evasion rather than murder, I suppose we should be grateful that at least this much happened to the POS.

As always, don’t forget the MSM that enabled this creature for so long, just because he was a Democrat and not Trump, and how they enable many others too with displays of sycophantic stenography.

Written by Tom Hunter

November 26, 2021 at 12:09 pm

Human Rights? In New Zealand? 😆😆😆😆😆😆

with 10 comments

It seems that some people are getting very upset about the “traffic light” legislation currently being rammed through under urgency by the government.

This is David Farrar’s take over at Kiwiblog:

Ramming massive human rights legislation through Parliament under urgency

This legislation will make some citizens, second class. They will have fewer rights than other citizens. Such a law should not be rushed through under urgency. Labour will not even be allowing a single New Zealander to submit on this law, despite the fact it will take basic rights away from several hundred thousand Kiwis. Even if you support the law, you should be appalled at this abuse of process.

Oh Pffft….

Even if you support the law”. That, right there, is the National-ACT dilemma. This was always going to be the natural result of supporting the idea of vaccine mandates and passports. It was signalled ages ago by the Prime Minister, Two classes of New Zealanders:

This really was the slippery slope and we’re not at the bottom yet.

Frankly I prefer this to a careful, slow examination of the legislation which will strangle my human rights anyway. Better to have the fast, slipshod job that this crowd will put in and enjoy exploiting the holes in it.

It is going to be funny to see if any lawyers want to have a crack at this using our Bill Of Rights, so puffed up decades ago by its author, Geoffrey Palmer. This just goes to show again what a complete and utter farce it is on more than the tiniest things. Parliamentary Supremacy trumps it and always will unless we make some radical, fundamental changes to our unwritten constitution and institutions, which we won’t because they, plus the people, are enamoured of Big Government, despite all the guff we’ve heard for forty years about Rogernomics.

Just as a sidebar, it would not hurt National and ACT to say that the first six months of their next government will be spent reversing every single piece of legislation this crowd passed on their own, plus every regulation and then firing every bureaucrat they’ve hired. Straight out demolition of some government departments, ministries and quangos wouldn’t hurt either

Written by Tom Hunter

November 24, 2021 at 2:47 pm

Yellow is not the appropriate colour

with 13 comments

A few weeks ago I posted on a story out of Germany where a bunch of idiot politicians decided it would be a great idea for vaccinated people to wear a yellow badge, They teach history, don’t they?

But it’s not Germans “leaders” forgetting their history. Out of Britain comes this news:

But back to Germany – well, Austria actually – showing that they can forget history just as well as everybody else, Austria orders new lockdown, says COVID-19 vaccination will be mandatory:

Austria will again impose a national COVID-19 lockdown next week in a bid to control another wave of infections — and in three months will begin requiring that all adults in the country are vaccinated, officials said Friday.

Austrian Chancellor Alexander Schallenberg announced the measures and said the lockdown will begin on Monday. The vaccine requirement will start in February.

As the Babylon Bee put it, To Defeat Delta Variant, Experts Recommend Doing All The Things That Didn’t Work The First Time.

In the world’s second bio-fascist state (after China) I feel that they’re getting closer to what I had merely written as satire a few months ago, especially given the glorious language that Austrians speak and the demonstrated lack of historical knowledge I really would not be surprised if they put up signs reading, Impfung Macht Frei.

Coming to New Zealand next Autumn perhaps, with another surge of cases?

In other posts I’ve used a picture of Aldous Huxley with a quote from him about people coming to love their oppression, but it turns out there was an American TV interview with him in 1958 where he got to expand on the subject in more detail: twelve minutes long but worth your time.

Written by Tom Hunter

November 21, 2021 at 7:49 am

What’s normal again?

with 4 comments

I already covered this topic in the post, We’re never going back to normal, which were actually the words spoken by some Australian health official suffering from Fauci/Hendy/Baker/Wiles/Bloomfield disease.

But it’s nice to see that some former fanatics are having a bit of re-think, as evidenced by an article in – of all places – the NYT, “Is it time to start moving back to normalcy?”.

The writer, one David Leonhardt, reports the views of “one of the more cautious” of “the Covid experts I regularly talk with”, Dr. Robert Wachter, chairman of the medicine department at the University of California San Francisco:

“He worries about ‘long Covid,’ and he believes that many people should receive booster shots. He says that he may wear a mask in supermarkets and on airplanes for the rest of his life.”

Okay. So obviously not a right-wing Covid denier. Nonetheless he…

… also worries about the downsides of organizing our lives around Covid. In recent weeks, he has begun to think about when most of life’s rhythms should start returning to normal. Increasingly, he believes the answer is: Now.

This belief stems from the fact that the virus is unlikely to go away, ever. Like most viruses, it will probably keep circulating, with cases rising sometimes and falling other times. But we have the tools – vaccines, along with an emerging group of treatments – to turn it into a manageable virus, similar to the seasonal flu.

Given this reality, Wachter, who’s 64, has decided to resume more of his old activities and accept the additional risk that comes with them, much as we accept the risk of crashes when riding in vehicles.

A sane conclusion. Meantime, Leonhardt, also reaches a sane conclusion based on the data he’s gathered:

Covid now presents the sort of risk to most vaccinated people that we unthinkingly accept in other parts of life

When The Washington Post recently asked Jennifer Nuzzo, an epidemiologist at Johns Hopkins University, when the pandemic would end, she replied: “It doesn’t end. We just stop caring. Or we care a lot less.” She added, “I think for most people, it just fades into the background of their lives.”

I realize that answer may sound jarring, but the alternative – a society permanently dominated by Covid – is jarring, too. Eventually, the costs of organizing our lives around the virus will exceed the benefits. In some cases, we may have already reached that point.

He should try living in New Zealand. Even though Covid-Zero was abandoned weeks ago it seems to me that this government and its supporters, including the scientists listed above, pushed the low death rate so hard and so successfully as a measure of their success (something endlessly echoed by their supporters) that they’re terrified of the backlash that would occur were it to rise into the hundreds or higher, and they are willing to do anything to avoid that.

They’re not alone. At the wonderful Stromata blog, which has only recently re-started after a decade, I came across this anecdote:

Just this weekend, I heard about a writer at a science fiction convention who complained vehemently to the organizers when a single unmasked individual appeared in the audience at one of her panels. The incremental risk that she faced as a result was undoubtedly too slight to be measured, yet it threw her into a simulacrum of fear.

As that blogger points out about his own area in Washington State (data obtained via that NYT link to another site):

The CDC has decided that a [7-day average] rate over 10 per 100,000 [popn.] is dangerous enough to demand special precautions, and most of the country outside the Southeast is above that level. In my home county (Pierce County, Washington), it’s 30 per 100,000 as a I write. If the disease were to move steadily through the county at that rate, each inhabitant could expect to fall ill at some point in the next nine years. That hardly conjures up images of the Black Death and makes one wonder why the CDC thinks the rate must be a third of that to be tolerable.

So here’s our case rate – 3.6 per 100,000.

There are other ways of overstating the risk, which have been used to the maximum here in New Zealand by our health experts, government, and MSM, and that is the deception of aggregate statistics and averages that don’t actually give one a true picture of risk:

According to another of the site’s maps, one in nine people in Pierce County has so far suffered from CCP Flu; one in 988 has died of it. Bear in mind that the number of cases is most likely understated (because those who are infected by the virus but have no symptoms are counted only by happenstance) while the risk of death may be overstated.

As Mr. Leonhardt notes, “The aggregate statistics on Covid deaths and hospitalizations exaggerate the risk to most Americans, because a disproportionate share of severe illness occurs among people with specific medical vulnerabilities.

The Italian Institute of Health has found that only three percent of patients in that country who were suffering from CCP Flu at the time of death were free from other morbid conditions.

But actually this is not new, or specific to Delta. This has been known from the start, based on information from China and Italy, as well as the petri dish of the Diamond Princess cruise liner, all in early 2020.

There have been similar comments from the US state of Minnesota, which seems awfully similar to NZ in terms of its approach to lockdowns, masks, vaccinations and the rest, including the new fanaticism of vaccinating kids aged 5-12. Author Kevin Roche managed to get an opinion column published in the Minnesota Star Tribune, “Time to face hard truths and get on with life – virus and all”, which did a detailed breakdown of the numbers and the problems the state government faces (he also runs the blog Healthy Skeptic)

Many people must now be wondering how the COVID-19 epidemic ever ends. The approach adopted by the current federal administration, and echoed in Minnesota, relies on demonizing the unvaccinated and doubling down on largely futile actions. There is no reason to have confidence in this approach, as it fails to address the underlying problem, which is the vaccines’ failure to meet inflated expectations.

Misinformation provided by governments has also created an inaccurate picture of the epidemic and of the steps which likely do create a rational and reasonable exit strategy.

Our current problem is not that large numbers of people aren’t vaccinated, but that notwithstanding extremely high levels of vaccination, we see ongoing significant numbers of cases, hospitalizations and deaths and renewed epidemic waves in different regions.

He suggested six steps to exit the pandemic, all of which apply to New Zealand as well:

  1. Stop obsessive reporting (faint hope: If It Bleeds, It Leads)
  2. Stop over-testing. (start recording “cases” the way we do with the flu, i.e. symptomatic people)
  3. Stop quarantining children and adults who have not tested positive. (Asymptomatic or pre-symptomatic transmission is actually low. Most transmission occurs from a few persons who are symptomatic, have large viral loads and substantial contact networks.)
  4. Stop wasting money on ineffective contact tracing (take a look at our growing number of “unlinked” cases)
  5. Refocus public policy on overall public health and well-being. (how many surgeries have been cancelled?)
  6. Most importantly, declare the epidemic over, declare victory if you are a politician and need that win, and celebrate that we survived this epidemic.

That last will only happen when the politicians – whether Minnesota Governor Walz or NZ PM Adern – have this ongoing “crisis” start hurting them politically rather than helping them as it has.

But Roche got an avalanche of hostile comments, so he then wrote a piece in the famous Powerline Blog:

What really strikes me is how wedded many people are to having the epidemic and its restrictions last forever. What kind of mental illness is this? But I have made the point many times before that I have no intention of trying to change these people’s minds.

This is belief and religion on their part, not data or science or logical analysis. I don’t even want to engage with these people. And they are a serious impediment to trying to get our society back to some kind of rational policy on the epidemic.

In the words of Captain Adama: So say we all.

Written by Tom Hunter

November 17, 2021 at 11:05 am

The kids are alright

According to those who still pay attention to the NZ MSM, Chris Bishop – National’s Covid-19 Response spokesman – said on some TV program a few weeks ago that children will need to be vaccinated soon. In this he was merely parroting what we’ve been hearing from the government for a while now.

In the USA Pfizer, after weeks of pressing for children from 5-11 to be vaccinated, finally got the FDA to agree, though it is only “emergency” use.

What emergency is that? I’d like to think it’s for kids who have health problems that Covid-19 might take advantage of. But I suspect the fear pornography will be ramped up again to include all kids.

For example, did you know that 900,000 children were hospitalised with Xi Snot Virus on the USA in the last year, according to the New York Time’s dedicated Covid reporter?

At least they issued a correction, but what confidence can you have in such a reporter who can’t even get a basic count correct?

Of course the really important numbers would be how many of those 63,000 had other health problems, how many got severely ill, and how many died. The latter at least we know: 700 since the onset of Alpha, (to Nov 11) out of a nation of 330 million. Annualised it’s about 400.

Based on those figures, it would seem that New Zealand might have around 6 children under the age of18 die from Covid-19.

Each year about 100 children die from unintentional injury.

“Thinking that everyone must be vaccinated is as scientifically flawed as thinking that nobody should. COVID vaccines are important for older high-risk people, and their care-takers. Those with prior natural infection do not need it. Nor children.”

What fringe nutter said that? What weirdo website came up this guy?

Dr. Martin Kulldorff is a professor of medicine at Harvard Medical School and a biostatistician and epidemiologist at the Brigham and Women’s Hospital. He helped develop the CDC’s current system for monitoring potential vaccine risks.

A Harvard Medical School colleague specializing in drug and vaccine safety research, Jeffrey Brown, said that Kulldorff is a “world-class” vaccine safety “superstar,” “His qualifications are spectacular,…He’s an international expert in vaccine safety. No one on earth would question whether he’s qualified. … He’s a pioneer.”

Okay. So what about the claims that the children will spread the virus, even if they don’t get sick and die from it? After all, even the great Dr Fauci has made this claim (yes, I know his history of bullshit and flip-flops):

The lecture took place shortly after the UK’s Joint Committee on Vaccination and Immunisation (JCVI) decided not to recommend vaccinating all children between the ages of 12 and 15 years old for COVID-19 after a risk-benefit analysis. 

During the lecture, Fauci discussed why he felt it was important to vaccinate children… Fauci referred to children as “vehicles of spread.”

Fauci discussed hospitalizations among children in the Southeast during the Delta surge. He said, “We are almost overrun. We have a lot of children in hospitals now. So even though, relatively speaking, compared to an adult they don’t get as seriously ill. We have lost more children from SARS-CoV-2 than we ever lose for influenza — and we vaccinate children against influenza.”

That was two months ago and even then the data did not support his claims:

First, the Southeast was experiencing a surge in the Delta variant while it had an offseason spike in respiratory syncytial virus (RSV)According to the CDC, 58,000 children under the age of five are hospitalized for RSV annually and the symptoms are very similar to COVID-19. The CDC’s Associated Hospital Surveillance Network (COVID-NET) collects age-specific hospitalization data for COVID-19. Through September 11, 2021, the week with the highest number of hospitalizations for children under 18 during the Delta wave, 117 children in its network were hospitalized with COVID-19. The network includes Georgia, which Fauci cited specifically in his lecture. If pediatric beds were full, they were not filled with COVID-19-positive children even, if all 117 were in Georgia.

As regards child transmission:

There is no data to indicate that children transmit COVID-19 to adults at greater rates than they did early in the pandemic. An early genetic study in Iceland found that transmission almost always went from adults to children. We should study whether Delta changes that pattern. We should not assume (in order to justify vaccinating children) that because Delta is more transmissible, it has changed the pattern

We know that cases fell in schools in the UK during the Delta surge. Rates of transmission were lower in schools than in the surrounding community despite there being no masking requirements. No one knows why this was the case. It could be due to the twice-a-week testing requirement, the overall seroprevalence due to asymptomatic infections in children earlier in the pandemic, or the lower transmission rates for children. We should probably find out.

Fauci did not know what he was talking about.

This also came just after his public claims about booster shots blew up in his face. Fauci said that the third dose of the vaccine would provide maximum immunity and, along with President Biden, set the expectation that all vaccinated Americans would be eligible for a booster shot. Millions of Americans probably believed him.

Then the FDA voted against recommending COVID-19 booster shots for all Americans 16 and older. The vote was based on the clinical data and a risk-benefit analysis, and was not even close, with 16 voting against and only two voting for the broad-based booster. Fauci promptly did what he’s best at and scrambled to walk back his words by going on five Sunday talk shows.

The FDA discussions made public were an alert in themselves when it comes to kids:

Doran Fink, M.D., deputy director of the clinical side of the FDA’s Division of Vaccines and Related Products Applications, provided some insight into the frequency of myocarditis. The highest reporting rate in the Vaccine Adverse Event Reporting System (VAERS) is for young men between the ages of 16 and 17. Health claims data in the U.S. show an incidence of approximately 1:5,000, largely following the second dose of an mRNA vaccine. Israel, which has electronic medical records to base reports on, shows a rate of 1:6,000. Fink stressed that there is no data on the risk of myocarditis and pericarditis following the third dose in any age group.

Dr. Arnold Monto, the acting committee chair, asked Fink if it was possible to determine at what age the side effect ceased to be a problem. Fink’s complete answer was astonishing.

“If you look at the healthcare claims data, you see that there is evidence of some attributable risk at all age groups, although, the older you get, the higher the risk of complications from COVID that offset the risk of myocarditis. So, when you look at the balances of risk versus benefit, what we really start to see is risk of myocarditis being higher [than COVID-19] in males under age 40.”

The following is an FDA chart on the benefits and risks of child vaccinations, and the tradeoff between ICU stays for COVID and ICU stays for myocarditis and pericarditis. The numbers for 5 – 11 year-old boys jumps out at you.

Incidently, before the claim is made that these are all “pandemics in the unvaccinated”, people should read this new analysis published in the European Journal of Epidemiology that shows no discernible relationship between the proportions of populations fully vaccinated and new Covid-19 cases.

Or you could address the study published by the CDC that refutes the common claim that COVID-19 is a “pandemic of the unvaccinated.” Coauthored by more than 50 MDs and Ph.D.’s, the study contains data on the vaccine status of adults hospitalized with COVID-19 at 21 U.S. hospitals across 18 states from March to August of 2021. This article takes a look at it and the British figures, which are more detailed.

the study found that 13% of patients hospitalized with C-19 had been fully vaccinated. Moreover, that 13% figure is just the tip of the iceberg because the authors excluded from their study a large group of hospitalized C-19 patients, the bulk of whom were likely vaccinated.

About half of the omitted group and 27% of the C-19 patients in these hospitals were people with “immunocompromising conditions,” such as cancer, HIV, rheumatoid arthritis, psoriasis, scleroderma, and Crohn’s disease. In the words of an FDA official and 18 other coauthors published in a medical journal, “immunocompromised individuals” were “prioritized for early immunization” and are “plausibly more likely to be offered and seek vaccination” because they are highly vulnerable to C-19.

The authors of the CDC study also excluded another 25% of all people hospitalized with C-19 because they were partially vaccinated, “received a COVID-19 vaccine other than Moderna, Pfizer-BioNTech, or Janssen [J&J],” or “received doses of two different COVID-19 vaccine products.”

Meantime from the British National Health Care system came this:

Filling the gap left by the vagueness of the CDC’s study, a precise measure of the vaccine status of people who died from the COVID-19 Delta variant is available from the United Kingdom, where the government keeps detailed healthcare records on nearly all citizens. Relevantly, the U.S. and U.K. have very similar C-19 death rates and had roughly equivalent vaccination rates over the period of the CDC study.

In the U.K. from February through August 2021, 62% of all COVID-19 Delta variant deaths were among the fully vaccinated. This amounts to a conclusive majority in a dataset with virtually every death included.

The article also contains a detailed list of the MSM sites and articles that pushed the claim and analysis of why there data was so misleading – and likely still is, since I’ve not heard any of this being walked back by them.

The story behind the talking point that COVID-19 is “a pandemic of the unvaccinated” is a textbook case of how false statistics are born and proliferate. Hence, it provides valuable insights into the dangers of blind trust and how to recognize deceitful rhetoric.

Perhaps somebody should ask the people at the Podium Of Truth whether NZ is, at a minimum, buying monoclonal antibody treatments? Some questions about vaccinating kids would be nice as well and although I was heartened by finding this Stuff article – Should we vaccinate kids? – it’s swamped by the alternative Narrative:

“Then for other children in the 5-11-year-old age group, you really have to put a high premium on ensuring safety. Because we know that once you’ve excluded that probably 2 or 3 per cent of children with severe other problems, then the rest of the children, the chance of them getting even more than a cold or something they may not even notice, is really very small.” – Peter McIntyre. Otago University professor of women’s and children’s health,

Written by Tom Hunter

November 13, 2021 at 12:17 am

Run Hamster, Run

I can’t say this news surprises me at all, courtesy of British newspaper, The Telegraph.

Holidaymakers who refuse Covid booster could face quarantine under new plans

British travellers eligible for the vaccine booster programme will have to be tripled jabbed in order to fly overseas under plans being considered by ministers.

The plans, which emerged on Saturday night, would see quarantine and testing reimposed for eligible groups who refuse to take up the top-up dose.

On Saturday night Government sources confirmed they were looking into the proposals, which would be modelled on the system in Israel.

Israel eh? That’s some deeply ironic shit there. The other key phrase is “waning immunity”.

This will be coming to New Zealand also and in the words of a former National Cabinet Minister, “I fully expect that National will support this”.

ACT as well, judging by recent comments from Seymour.

Then the fourth injection, the fifth, the….

Written by Tom Hunter

November 8, 2021 at 8:57 am

Rising cases with rising vaccination should not be a surprise

Although I’m almost always scathing about the MSM one thing they are accurately capturing is the “shock” of New Zealand’s steadily rising number of daily Covid-19 (Delta) cases.

Today it’s at 160 cases, the highest yet, and all indications are that it will go higher still.

Of course those numbers will be boosted by the well-known issues with the PCR test, which is that it is a highly sensitive laboratory test that even its inventor said was not fit for purpose since it will produce “cases” where the person shows no symptoms of Covid-19 at all and is not sick, and therefore may not even be spreading the virus.

Having said that I can’t help wondering if the sheer invasiveness of the nose swab, plus the consequences of MIQ isolation, may have seen a lot of the population not getting tested even if they feel a bit sick, so perhaps there are even more cases out in the population.

Setting aside that problem I’ve no doubt that ordinary people are as “shocked” by these rising numbers as the MSM is, although that itself is a blowback from the shallow, poor and highly fearful nature of the MSM reporting on this over the last eighteen months.

In fact people I’ve talked too outside this blog have been more than shocked, they have been angered. when I tell them that the vaccine does not stop them from catching the virus, only that it protects them from getting sick and dying (mostly).

They’re even more appalled when I tell them that vaccinated people are spreading the virus. This has been obvious for some time now at least as a correlation, as nations find themselves confronting rising case numbers…

…even when their vaccination rates are good:

Although in the case of the USA case numbers are rapidly falling even as the vaccination rate appears to have stalled out at less than 60%.

Then there’s this study conducted recently of new COVID-19 cases across 68 countries and 2,947 counties in the United States:

At the country-level, there appears to be no discernable relationship between percentage of population fully vaccinated and new COVID-19 cases in the last 7 days (Fig. 1). In fact, the trend line suggests a marginally positive association such that countries with higher percentage of population fully vaccinated have higher COVID-19 cases per 1 million people. Notably, Israel with over 60% of their population fully vaccinated had the highest COVID-19 cases per 1 million people in the last 7 days. The lack of a meaningful association between percentage population fully vaccinated and new COVID-19 cases is further exemplified, for instance, by comparison of Iceland and Portugal. Both countries have over 75% of their population fully vaccinated and have more COVID-19 cases per 1 million people than countries such as Vietnam and South Africa that have around 10% of their population fully vaccinated.

God, what fringe nutter conducted that analysis?

S.V. Subramanian Ph.D., a professor in population health and geography at Harvard’s T.H. Chan School of Public Health, authored the study. His profile lists over 600 original journal articles that have been cited by other researchers thousands of times. Subramanian’s work focuses on population-level public health statistics and epidemiology curves of several diseases.

Oh!

This situation has led to a key question, Who to Blame When Everyone’s Vaxxed?:

This has become embarrassingly obvious in County Waterford. As reported in the Irish Times, the nation’s establishment newspaper, two of the three most COVID-infected electoral areas in Ireland are located in the county “with the highest rate of vaccination in the country.” In Waterford, a remarkable 99.7 percent of adults over the age of 18 is fully vaccinated.

According to data published on October 21, Waterford City South has the nation’s highest 14-day incidence rate at 1,486 cases per 100,000 and Tramore-Waterford City West has the third highest at 1,122 cases per 100,000. This is despite internal travel bans and the county’s more than 90 percent vaccination rate.

As the article points out Ireland had harsh lockdowns that lasted much longer than many nations, yet they are now unlocking even as cases have surged:

As late as April 2021, Irish citizens were not allowed to travel more than three miles from their homes. All schools and churches were shut down, as were all bars, restaurants, and construction sites. Even after Ireland “eased out” of these restrictions in April, travel was limited to 12 miles and people were still not allowed to have visitors inside their homes.

Despite the recent surge in cases among the fully vaccinated, Ireland is just now easing the restrictions on wedding and church attendance and outdoor gatherings. Indoor service in bars and restaurants has also resumed but for only for those who are fully vaccinated or can prove they have recovered from COVID-19 in the past 6 months.

The arbitrary evolution of Irish COVID policy over the past 18 months has made it clear that public health officials and government policy makers have no idea what they are doing.

That last bit sounds familiar. Now comes the confirmation of the reason for this, from a specific study of the phenomena:

People inoculated against Covid-19 are just as likely to spread the delta variant of the virus to contacts in their household as those who haven’t had shots, according to new research.

In a yearlong study of 621 people in the U.K. with mild Covid-19, scientists found that their peak viral load was similar regardless of vaccination status, according to a paper published Thursday in The Lancet Infectious Diseases medical journal…

…“Our findings show that vaccination alone is not enough to prevent people from being infected with the delta variant and spreading it in household settings,” said Ajit Lalvani, a professor of infectious diseases at Imperial College London who co-led the study. “The ongoing transmission we are seeing between vaccinated people makes it essential for unvaccinated people to get vaccinated to protect themselves.”

The justification for vaccine mandates, including getting people fired, has always been that it will force the highest possible compliance for vaccination rates, for “the public health” and also to “protect others”, which is an argument that our PM made just the other day: that the vaccinated needed to feel protected from the unvaccinated, hence the two classes of citizens being created.

That last has always been a stupid argument, presented for no other vaccination I’m aware of. I’ve always felt protected by the vaccines I took and worried not in the least by people who did not have the vaccinations. This is a “unique” argument to say the least.

Written by Tom Hunter

October 30, 2021 at 1:45 pm

A superior vaccine passport

There seems to be a lot of chatter on Social Media and blogs as to what form our new vaccine passports will take.

I’ve posted about this before and using the online game Papers Please, (You can start practicing now)

But over at the blog, Bassett, Brash and Hide, I see Rodney has a post on the subject, “Papers”:

That demand is now a fait accompli. Before the year’s out we will need to carry our papers or digital ID everywhere we go. The police will be empowered to demand to see official documentation of who we are and our status. We could be innocently enjoying a cup of coffee when the police arrive for a spot check. “Papers!”

Is there anybody now willing to argue that this is hyperbole? For those who are demanding vaccine passports but saying they don’t agree with mandates I would simply point out the one is useless without the other.

Given that this incompetent government has often been caught spending millions of dollars on crap that goes nowhere it remains my hope that such incompetence will save us from totalitarianism.

I do hope that nobody in Wellington will take up this man’s suggestion, given that it would be cheap to implement, while bolstering our economic ties and eternal friendship with The Red Dragon:

On this front I was interested to read a recent article from Rod Dreher, who published a book called The Benedict Option several years ago:

“Today, a new post-Christian barbarism reigns. Many believers are blind to it, and their churches are too weak to resist. Politics offers little help in this spiritual crisis. What is needed is the Benedict Option, a strategy that draws on the authority of Scripture and the wisdom of the ancient church. The goal: to embrace exile from the mainstream culture and construct a resilient counterculture.”

The Amish were way ahead of him on that front.

Anyway, his latest piece is titled, The age of the Anti-Christ is here, and while I’m not big on that whole theme it does have some interesting things to say about where we are and where we are going. I was especially interested in a non-theological series he refers to called, You Are Harvest, by an Irishman named Paul Kingsnorth, which unfortunately is on a subscriber Substack forum. Judging by Dreher’s excerpts I might consider subscribing, as I have for Leftist Matt Tabbi.

Many people see few problems with the march of the digital machine through every aspect of our lives. Many people have simply forgotten what it feels like not to be pulled and pushed and tugged and directed every hour of the day by the demands of the glowing screen.

Many people are not paying attention.

Well, books aside, there are many people who might not have made it this far through lockdowns without their glowing screens, but I see his point:

A couple of friends came to visit us from England. We hadn’t seen them for nearly a decade, and they hadn’t travelled anywhere since the pandemic began, so they were blinking excitedly in the sunlight. They had taken the ferry across the Irish Sea, which had necessitated them performing a particular technological ritual, one which went beyond even the longstanding norm of scanning their digitally-enabled passports and sitting on a boat full of CCTV cameras.

This time they had to have their photo taken, and show their digital proof of vaccination. They also, for some reason they didn’t understand, had to recite a string of numbers into a recording device. If I were being paranoid – and these days I usually am – I would guess that this was part of the creation of an embryonic digital voice recognition system, which will be used in future to supplement the eyeball scans, passport chips and smartphone-enabled health certificates which are already forming the basis of our glorious future of freedom and plenty.

I also appreciate, amidst the cries and the jokes about Stalin, Nineteen Eighty Four and the like, Kingsnorth’s take on how this develops, via another, earlier writer named Ellul:

But then, if Ellul is right, this is the direction in which the reign of technique will ultimately take us: towards the dictatorship of the Machine. Claiming in 1964 that technique had already ‘rendered traditional democratic doctrines obsolete’, he suggested that the new way of seeing would overcome any democratic objections, and would always tend towards total control. ‘Efficiency is a fact’, he wrote wryly, ‘and justice a slogan.’ Technique, through sheer dominance, would accrue power to itself until there could be no rational argument (the only kind of argument now accepted) against controlling the minutiae of our lives for the greater good.

By using the word ‘totalitarian’, Ellul was not suggesting that all nations would become dictatorships, let alone adopt an ideological framework like Nazism or Marxism to guide them. In fact, he said, such ideologies interfere with the direction of technique, which seeks efficiency rather than ideology. ‘Totalitarian’, in this context, simply meant that it would be impossible to escape the Machine and its assumptions. Everywhere you looked, there it would be: staring you in the face, directing your actions, digging into every facet of your life, giving you fewer and fewer escape routes each year.

Closer and closer I hear that rough beast slouching towards us, but it has reigns and they are held by kindness.

Written by Tom Hunter

October 29, 2021 at 2:22 pm