No Minister

Posts Tagged ‘President Trump

Ukraine, Russia and Impeachment as Coup

with one comment

Understand this plainly: Trump was impeached, ostensibly, for asking about this corrupt arrangement. But no one is ever impeached for engaging in it. Nor can our elites, who almost all benefit from this system one way or another, muster the integrity to do, or even say, anything against it.

In the run up to the 2022 US Mid-Term elections, I regretted hearing whispers about the possibility of impeaching President Biden. Even having failed to gain control of the Senate I still read comments to the effect that an in-depth investigation of Hunter Biden and the family business might still lead to impeachment of the President.

That would be incredibly stupid, but then it was stupid of the GOP to impeach Clinton in 1998 and even more stupid of the Democrats to impeach Trump in 2020, although I can understand their desperation in the pre-Covid days when a roaring economy, no domestic eruptions and no wars meant a likely Trump victory that year. Of course there’s no point in covering the unhinged vengeful second impeachment of Trump after he’d lost the election.

But before discussing what might happen to Biden, it pays to cover off the non-fallout of the first Trump impeachment. Although I covered it in detail at the time, that was more about the strategies, tactics, facts and evidence: a wider perspective is worth looking at, and that includes President Obama.

First, it pays to recall that the vast Administrative State in Washington D.C. was very unhappy at Trump’s 2016 victory, and apparently determined even back then to disrupt his Administration:

Others, however, view resistance as a part of the job. “Policy dissent is in our culture,” one diplomat in Africa, who signed the letter circulating among foreign diplomats, told The New York Times. “We even have awards for it,” this person added, in reference to the State Department’s “Constructive Dissent” award. One Justice Department employee told the Post, “You’re going to see the bureaucrats using time to their advantage,” and added that “people here will resist and push back against orders they find unconscionable,” by whistle-blowing, leaking to the press, and lodging internal complaints. Others are staying in contact with officials appointed by President Obama to learn more about how they can undermine Trump’s agenda and attending workshops on how to effectively engage in civil disobedience, the Post reports.

Entire departments of Sir Humphries – with an attitude that they represent the people. Which talk turned to this from senior Democrat Senator, Chuck Schumer:

“Let me tell you, you take on the intelligence community, they have six ways from Sunday at getting back at you,” Schumer told MSNBC’s Rachel Maddow.

Journalist Mollie Hemingway had already noticed all this in January 2017 before Trump was inaugurated:

Dwight Eisenhower warned that if we didn’t stay vigilant, the military-industrial complex would start creeping into politics with pernicious motives all its own.

Sorry Dwight, but it was already too late by then, and you share some of the blame.

Fast forward two years and the other side of the fence, the Far Left magazine Counterpunch – while skewering the Democrats over their treatment of Bernie Sanders and general attitude towards getting Establishment candidates winning primaries at any cost – noted the same thing:

Whatever one thinks of Donald Trump and impeachment, it is the political establishment that is trying to bring him down. That the ‘whistleblower’ is a CIA officer who has since returned to active duty at the agency isn’t lost on Mr. Trump’s supporters. As much as the NPR tote bag set believes that it is the fount of wisdom and truth, they, along with the CIA, inflicted three years of the cynical farce of Russiagate on us and came up empty handed.

Being Counterpunch it has to be the CIA, of course, but actually it was the FBI – and the military:

The word “coup” shifted to a new level of formalized meaning last week when members of the political resistance showed up to remove President Trump wearing military uniforms.

Not only did U.S. military leadership remain silent to the optics and purpose, but in the testimony of Lt. Col. Alexander Vindman he admits to giving instructions to ignore the instructions from a sitting United States President.

In the absence of push-back from the Joint Chiefs, from this moment forth, the impression is tacit U.S. military support for the Vindman objective.

Read the rest of this entry »
Advertisement

Written by Tom Hunter

February 6, 2023 at 6:00 am

30,000 lies was it not?

with 2 comments

From Trump that is, I think according to the Washington Post?

They ran a FACT CHECKING scam on Trump for four years in order to keep their click-bait TDS fans engaged to a degree that Mark Zuckerberg could only dream of with Facebook.

And then they dumped it all when Biden replaced Trump, the argument being that since nobody lied as much as Trump; Biden being only a standard political liar like the rest of his class, and therefore not worthy of their time.

One farcical aspect of it was that often it was not a “lie” or a “fact-check” but simply an alternative argument. You were supposed to sit there and say, “Well of course the fact checker is correct and Trump lied”. Pure click-bait for the internet age.

But not as farcical as the idea that Biden was less of a liar, either in terms of quantity or nastiness of the lie – as even TDS-riddled American commentator, Dan McLaughlin, recognises.

Also this where Biden, in 1993, praises former KKK Kleagle Strom Thurmond – by comparing him to none other than Robert E. Lee.

Written by Tom Hunter

January 17, 2023 at 7:44 pm

“How anyone could be that irresponsible?”(Updated)

with 6 comments

DOOCY (Fox News): “Classified materials, next to your Corvette? What were you thinking?”

BIDEN: “My Corvette’s in a locked garage, okay? So it’s not like they’re sitting out on the street.”

A second set of classified documents that Biden used has now been found – in his garage.

“And I thought what data was in there that may compromise sources and methods.”

Yes, “President” Biden, these are indeed deep questions about the stupidity, irresponsibility and carelessness of an American President exposed to all that IC information and leaving it in places – like “locked closets” unprotected by the Secret Service (ie. not Mar a Largo) or computer servers setup in bathrooms (right Hillary?), where it could be accessed by enemies of the US.

“As soon as the Penn Biden Center opened, China quadrupled its donations to UPenn. The Chinese funneled $55 million into UPenn, and UPenn was paying Biden a million-dollar salary.”

Especially when it turns out that you’ve lost them in more than one place.

Whoops.Whoopsie! As TDS sufferer David Farrar might say.

I’ll give credit to the MSM channels, CBS and NBC who have broken these stories. It’s been a long time since the MSM conducted journalism that hurt a Democrat, especially the Not-Trump. Of course this simply raises the suspicion that it’s yet another attempt by the Democrats to stop Biden from running in 2024.

🍿🍿🍿🍿🍿🍿🍿🍿🍿🍿🍿🍿🍿🍿🍿🍿🍿🍿🍿🍿🍿

Still, it’s the followup questions that need to be asked and we’ll see how well they do with that:

How many documents were discovered? How and when did they get where they were found? What information exists in the documents and at what level of classification? Did Biden and/or his aides know that the documents had been taken? When was Biden told the documents were discovered? Why was the public not told the first batch was discovered before the midterm elections? How will the administration ensure that an investigation isn’t tainted, and is a plan in place to search for additional documents?

I’ll leave you with liberal Democrat supporter, law professor Jonathan Turley (yes, I know his constant, waspish questions of Democrats have their supporters screaming that he’s a GOP plant:

While the media continues to dismiss the influence peddling investigation as, in the words this weekend of NBC’s Chuck Todd, a “personal” attack, it is far more serious as a form of corruption due to an array of dangers from such access.

The millions given to Hunter Biden came from a variety of foreign sources, including some coming from figures tied to foreign intelligence. This money not only gained influence but access to the Bidens.

[DOJ head]. Garland again refused to appoint a special counsel and will keep the matter within the DOJ rank-and-file.

Biden can count on every possible consideration and accommodation from the media. The public is used to that. However, Garland will undermine both investigations by continuing to block the appointment of a special counsel into Biden and his family.

It’s amazing to me, even though it should not be, that there are so many people in the US and around the world, that are willing to forgive Biden for all the sins that they pin on Trump.

UPDATE:

Good grief, the White House Press Corp are finally acting like journalists (hit the link for a larger set of videos than what’s shown below. Up until this it’s basically only been FoxNews’s Peter Doocy who’s has been hammering away on Biden over various issues.

Read the rest of this entry »

Written by Tom Hunter

January 13, 2023 at 6:48 pm

The Wrath of Ten Million Swifties**

with 2 comments

I don’t follow celebrities in any field, but given their influence in our society – via the MSM – I can’t help but be made aware of their antics from time-to-time. Then there’s the fact that my kids are only now emerging from being teenagers, which nowadays means that what they’re aware of, you’re aware of.

Which is why I was able to answer Tinman’s question the other day as to the strange hatred that singer Taylor Swift is subjected to from certain corners of the world. The first time I became aware of this (via Beloved Daughter) was waaaaayyyy back in 2009 when she was awarded Best Music Video of the year at the MTV awards – only to have her acceptance speech gate-crashed by one Kanye West, who thought it should have gone to Beyonce for “Single Ladies” (Yes, it’s a link to People magazine but bear with me).

This was the first time my daughter became aware that Kanye West was a fucking asshole, but thanks to noticing the political news I’d already been aware of that years earlier during the Hurricane Katrina disaster in New Orleans when he said that George Bush doesn’t care about black people!”. As you can imagine the Left absolutely LOVED Kanye West for that.

But over the last four years he’s slowly become one of their hate objects, starting with his embarrassing talk about Jesus, increasing with his support of Trump, and now finally cresting with a river of Jew-hating comments…. and meeting with Trump again in the middle of that shitstorm. The following Tweet from “President” Biden is thus to be expected – with no names of course, aside from the Godwin’s Law one.

Silence certainly is complicity, so let’s take walk down the American Democrat Memory Hole Lane….

The guy to Obama’s right is, of course, Louis Farrakhan, Black Supremacist, long-time head of The Nation of Islam, and a rabid Jew-hater. The guy who took the photo in 2005 did not release it until 2018 because he knew damned well what it could have done to Obama’s political career. Frankly that’s what should have happened, given that Obama’s long-time pastor in Chicago, Reverend Jeremiah Wright, had exactly the same “issues”.

But Jew-hating American Blacks are not uncommon and they’re not all on the fringes of the Democrat Party either, as has been repeatedly demonstrated when Democrats vying for their party’s presidential nomination go looking for support among the 90%-Democrat-voting Black community.

Al Sharpton visited the Obama White House more than eighty times over eight years.

I look forward to the non-silence of the Democrat Party on this issue during the 2024 Presidential election.

** Swifties is the name given to her rabid, mainly female fans and the ten million is a reference to the mass meltdown that occurred when they hit the huge US TicketMaster site en masse for tickets to her 2023 Eras tour and crashed the system. Congressional investigations of the monopoly are on the way. Yes! Really. Against such fans Kanye was always doomed.

“Imagine there’s no countries…”

with 3 comments

“… It isn’t hard to do”

You may say that I’m a dreamer.
But I’m not the only one.
I hope someday you’ll join us.
And the world will be as one.

Were he still alive John Lennon might be overjoyed that his dream is coming true in the 21st century – at least along the US-Mexican border, where President Biden’s open border policy is pushing the numbers of illegal immigrants entering the USA to ever-higher levels, and this after some five million have already crossed in the last two years.

The famous economist Herbert Stein once noted:

“If something cannot go on forever, it will stop.”

Well sure, but the devil is in the detail of how a thing stops: bankruptcy, collapse, mass crime, civil war? Perhaps we should ask Bernie Sanders, as I noted almost four years ago in The Naif and The Wall:

Bernie Sanders:  Open borders? No, that’s a Koch brothers proposal. 

Ezra Klein:  Really? 

Bernie Sanders:  Of course. That’s a right-wing proposal, which says essentially there is no United States. …
You know what youth unemployment is in the United States of America today? If you’re a white high school graduate, it’s 33 percent, Hispanic 36 percent, African American 51 percent. You think we should open the borders and bring in a lot of low-wage workers, or do you think maybe we should try to get jobs for those kids

===============================

I add the following, semi-famous story about one of Lennon’s responses about his song:

One day Lennon was grumbling about the cost of running his growing empire and Neil Aspinall reminded him of the lyrics: “Imagine no possessions, John.”

“ It’s just a bloody song!” was Lennon’s retort.

Which is to say that, like the good burghers of Martha’s Vineyard, Lennon probably would object to having these immigrants anywhere near his houses.

Written by Tom Hunter

November 26, 2022 at 8:38 am

The GOP strikes back

leave a comment »

In the same way that Leftists love shooting people when they can’t shoot back, they also love having the powers of investigation in their hands only.

Hence the hair-on-fire efforts on Trump, starting with the announcement by Merrick Garland, head of the Department of Justice, of a “Special Prosecutor Counsel” who’ll be taking another look at the claims that Trump stole precious security documents on his way out of the White House, as well as being involved in the great Jan 6 “Insurrection”.

The person chosen as the Special Prosecutor Counsel has an interesting history:

Smith led the corrupt prosecution of former Virginia Gov. Bob McDonnell. The DOJ went to such absurd lengths to broaden the federal bribery statute to target the Republican politician that the Supreme Court eventually overturned the conviction.

“According to Mr. Pilger, the Justice Department convened a meeting with former IRS official Lois Lerner in October 2010 to discuss how the IRS could assist in the criminal enforcement of campaign-finance laws against politically active nonprofits,” the committee wrote in a 2014 letter to DOJ. “This meeting was arranged at the direction of Public Integrity Section Chief Jack Smith.”

In case you’re wondering, Mr Smith was appointed as the “Public Integrity Section Chief” after his case against the GOP Governor was quashed by the Supreme Court. More failing upwards in US government. Lerner was forced to resign but she not only did not face jail time or a fine but kept her pension.

Word is that the Manhattan DA is also trying to revive the dead investigation of Trump’s “hush money” payment to Stormy Daniels:

Under Bragg’s predecessor, the district attorney’s office rejected the idea of focusing a case solely on the hush money, concluding, with the help of outside legal experts, that it would hinge on a largely untested and therefore risky legal theory. And if Bragg were to charge Trump without uncovering any new evidence or relying on a more conventional theory, he would risk having a judge or appellate court throw out the case.

Which was why Bragg booted the case when he became the DA. I guess the pressure was too much. And then these people wonder why public trust in institutions is going down. Fox News must be more powerful than I thought?

But the good news (sort of) is that with the House now won the GOP has gained it’s own powers of investigation, and it would appear that after the last few years of lawfare bloodletting they’ve developed a spine – or perhaps they’ve just realised that if they don’t use these weapons against the Democrats they’ll be at the mercy of the latter forever, and there is no mercy on the Left.

Jordan and Republicans have sought information on the FBI’s raid of former President Trump’s Mar-a-Lago home, alleged FISA abuse, information on domestic violent extremism cases, the Justice Department’s efforts to monitor parents at school board meetings and label them as domestic terrorists, among other issues.

Basically these are the issues they’re going after:

Moreover, they’re going after the people responsible:

  • Merrick Garland (DOJ head)
  • Christopher Wray (FBI)
  • Miguel Cardona (Education)
  • Alejandro Mayorkas (DHS) head

In the wake of the Democrat’s use of police to enforce their subpoena power, with numerous Trump supporters being arrested, even if only temporarily, I appreciated the following:

Jordan is warning both Garland and Wray that if the requests “remain outstanding” at the beginning of the next Congress, the committee “may be forced to resort to compulsory process to obtain the material we require.”

In other words there may not be a repeat of the treatment given to Obama’s Attorney General, Eric Holder, some years ago when he refused to supply information to a Congressional investigation, found himself held in contempt on a bi-partisan vote – and …. nothing further happened. Holder effectively told Congress to go fuck themselves and laughed his way to a prosperous future outside of government at the end of Obama’s administration.

Those days may be over, but again we’ll see if The Stupid Party have learned anything or whether they’re going to just roll over and have double standards shoved up them forevermore.

Having said that I don’t expect any criminal charges to emerge from all this, any more than I do from the Trump stuff. As much as corruption and breaches of the law may have occurred the fact is that this is all political, with each side using the facts uncovered to win political points and put their opponents in a corner that makes their election tougher.

Despite some calls from the usual suspects about how these investigations may hurt the GOP…

In short: How do you know when James Comer (R) is lying? Well, if his lips are moving, it’s a sure bet.

… there’s no evidence that they ever hurt the investigating party. Two years after the Clinton impeachment (which I did not agree with) the GOP won the Presidency and Congressional investigations did not hurt the Democrats in 2008, nor the GOP in 2014 and 2016, nor the Democrats this year.

In fact, given the Democrats will be increasingly desperate to move Joe on and have him not run in 2024, they may even secretly welcome the Hunter Biden “revelations”. When even their good friends in the MSM begin to “discover” things about the Biden’s it’s an evil portent for the First Family – and no Twitter to cover it up this time which none other than CBS has declared to be “safe” for them to return to.

Written by Tom Hunter

November 22, 2022 at 9:11 am

Comedy gold

leave a comment »

Elon Musk restores Trumps twitter account on Biden’s 80th birthday. What a present. 😉

Written by Whiskey&Pie

November 20, 2022 at 2:09 pm

An appeal to those who still believe

with 5 comments

…. in law and order and justice and the agents who impose such.

As opposed to those Americans who don’t give a shit about such things except as a way of gaining political advantage and who very much believe in political revenge and love double standards.

The number of such Americans who believe the latter now number in the millions at least, and those numbers are likely increasing rapidly every day as America polarises further and begins to split (Austin has been invaded by Texas).

The thing is that The Powers That Be (TPTB) in Washington D.C. may be under the strange impression that those numbers are increasing only on their side and that their political opponents are mere chumps who still believe in the honesty and decency of the Department of Justice and the FBI and can thus by taken advantage of (admittedly this may be the case for The Stupid Party aka the GOP). It’s as if TPTB think tens of millions of GOP voters are unaware of the plight of the Jan 6 prisoners, many of whom still languish in jail awaiting trial on charges of stuff like trespassing – and whose ranks we now know were infiltrated with more than a few undercover FBI agents (which begs the question of why the FBI did not prevent Jan 6 from happening?)

Garland as much as admits that this is about stopping Trump running for President.

No special prosecutor for Hunter Biden, naturally!

I think TPTB are wrong, but clearly it’s going to take a crisis to make them realise that there are two sides to this game they’re playing. They think they can keep pushing the system to the edge because it’ll never break or if it does, it won’t break against them.

Ted Cruz Hit By Thrown Missile, Media Snarks and Reminds Readers that Cruz Is Hated and Had It Coming

Since Dobbs Decision Leak, Violence Against Pro-Lifers Was Over 22 Times That Against Pro-Choicers

Perhaps the plan of the Democrat Party is to start a Civil War in the USA? They’ve done it before.

In the meantime the Washington Post and a few of the other usual MSM suspects, recently supplied their TDS readers with a bit of a shock about those “nuclear secrets” Trump had stashed away – but only after the Mid-Term elections were out of the way:

Federal agents and prosecutors have come to believe former president Donald Trump’s motive for allegedly taking and keeping classified documents was largely his ego and a desire to hold on to the materials as trophies or mementos, according to people familiar with the matter.

That review has not found any apparent business advantage to the types of classified information in Trump’s possession, these people said. FBI interviews with witnesses so far, they said, also do not point to any nefarious effort by Trump to leverage, sell or use the government secrets. Instead, the former president seemed motivated by a more basic desire not to give up what he believed was his property, these people said.

Another one bites the dust. But there were several other similar stories that dropped after the Mid-Terms:

  • California goes from budget surplus to deficit.
  • Rudy Giuliani cleared after a two-year “investigation” of foreign lobbying.
  • Biden’s student loan forgiveness killed in court (what a surprise)

The stunt being repeatedly played here is to “investigate” and perhaps even “indict” because those will play and play and play in the pages of the likes of the Washington Post for the next two years and get TDS sufferers all stirred up and passionate to vote against Trump – followed by the same disappointing news that has followed every other one of these “bombshells” for six years now.

Written by Tom Hunter

November 19, 2022 at 12:19 pm

Eight lessons for the GOP – or more

with 5 comments

In the wake of a very disappointing mid-term election for the Republican Party there’s already a lot of dissection of the results and their meaning going on in the US Right Wing.

But before reading about that, I was amused by this story of a guy in Florida who went undercover working for the Fetterman campaign in Pennsylvania doing call-ups by phone. He also joined a smaller Florida GOP campaign later on to do the same thing.

The talking points delivered to him to repeat to registered Democrats to vote are great:

The Democrats use software called Scale to Win. It sometimes took a minute or two to find a live person for me to talk to, but eventually the names of voters popped up on my screen. All my calls were to registered Democrats in Pennsylvania.

In case anyone challenged us, we were to say that Fetterman was “on a path to a well-paying career in the insurance industry” before he essentially decided to be a do-gooder following the death of a friend.

I asked him what his concern was and he said, “basically denying election results.” I asked him if he was referring to Trump and Republicans questioning the 2020 election and he confirmed that he was. Then I asked him if he had also been concerned with Hillary Clinton’s continued efforts to dispute the results of the 2016 election and his voice grew confused then angry. “Oh wow…Hillary…wait, where are you calling from?” I stumbled trying to decide what to say, and amid my hesitation, he hung up.

Heh, heh. The propaganda was already laid and set: “tell me what the MSM already got me to believe and make me feel good so I’ll vote Democrat”. The contrast in professionalism was not good either:

I made dozens of calls, using my own phone, and got nothing but voicemail. “The Dems have better technology than us because the tech companies help them,” Henson said when I told her how many Pennsylvania Democrats I’d spoken to.

Trump

Suffice to say that there’s already blood-letting going on over the vast, looming presence of Donald Trump in this election – and over what that says about the 2024 election. Ever since Trump lost in 2020 I’ve held that at 78 years of age in 2024 I don’t want him to be President again, as I’ve grown very tired of the octogenarians running the US government across the Presidency, Senate and House. I also know that Trump is too toxic to win in 2024, when he won’t be facing someone even more toxic than himself as he did with Hillary Clinton in 2016. The 2022 results, arising from the Democrats making Trump and abortion the centerpiece of their campaigns, will likely mark the beginning of Trump’s decline inside the GOP, as even former supporters declare that it’s time to move on (read the Powerline comments from their post Unquiet Flows The Don).

The latest example is from Washington state, where a Trump-backed candidate beat the GOP incumbent in the primary (she’d voted for Trump’s impeachment) and then lost an R+13 district in the General! And before I bitch about McConnell not spending money to help the GOP Senate candidate in Alaska – because that would have hurt his ally, Murkowski – you should also note that Trump gave more money to David Perdue in the Georgia Governor’s GOP primary in losing to Brian Kemp than he gave to Blake Masters for the Arizona Senate race (Kemp went on to win the Georgia general election in a thumping victory).

Never-Trump and the GOPe

But the Never-Trumper wing of the party – in particular the Bush/Cheney/Romney/McCain section – should stop kidding themselves that the end of Trump means a comeback for them and their policies. They’re more dead than Trump will be in a couple of years time, less because of their opposition to Trump than because of the fanaticism they’ve brought to the fight, which has sometimes exceeded even that of the Democrats, and which has recently seen many actively stumping against all Republicans around the country.

Also included in holding the bag for this crap is the current leadership of the GOP – McConnell in the Senate, McCarthy in the House, and their lower-level enablers. Blaming Trump is not enough to deflect blame here; they’re in charge, Trump was not. Read what this losing Republican candidate in the Ohio-9 House district describes as the National Republican Congressional Committee (NRCC) “helping” him in an R+3 district that went for Trump strong in 2020: more like not helping. Moreover, like the Never-Trumpers it’s obvious that many of the GOP Establishment (the GOPe) remain opposed to Trump policies that GOP voters like, such as de-coupling from China, staying out of foreign wars and preserving jobs at home.

If the consultant class really wants to “move on” from Trump, they are going to have to earn the trust of voters (at least those that are persuadable). The first step in doing that would be supporting a fresh slate of leaders at the top of the party. That includes Congressional leadership, but it also includes Ronna McDaniel at the RNC, whose mid-term strategy was so disastrous that she should have immediately resigned in shame.

There are also problems with State-level GOP machines, as the losing Michigan Governor candidate, Tudor Dixon pointed out. I was surprised to learn that both the Michigan House and Senate were held by the GOP (the latter for forty years!) So how did they let Wretched Whitmar get away with so much crap in the last two years? And then they pissed and moaned about their own person, Dixon. Is it any wonder people gave up on them and gave it to the Democrats. A lot of other stuff in the article reads as incompetence as they constantly fought with Dixon: it’s one of the oldest political rules that if voters are presented with crap politicians and policies versus split parties with infighting politicians, they’ll will go with crap. And just look at what those voters are about to get in just that state:

With the election over, Democratic lawmakers are finally making clear that voters shouldn’t expect centrism. Look no further than State Sen. Dayna Polehanki, D-Livonia, who on election night told Michigan exactly what the future holds: “We got ALL the gavels. Get ready for some cha-cha-cha-changes here in Michigan.” She followed it up with a list of leftist policies that are now on the docket — including blocking school choice, investigating charter schools, and repealing Michigan’s historic right-to-work law

More regulations. Higher energy costs. More skin-colour “diversity”. More welfare. More spending.

Learn from Success

Having said that, all of this needs to show up in learning from the GOP successes that happened in this election since it’s always better to learn from success than fight over laying blame for the failures and every Republican should be aware that the Democrats and their MSM/Social Media allies will do everything they can to throw gas on this fire while also keeping the focus on always-Trump (though the “GOP” Never-Trumpers wont’ care about that either).

First off is this fascinating article in City Journal relating what it calls Ron’s Ruleseight rules that every Republican should take from Ron DeSantis’s overwhelming success in Florida:

  1. Stay on offense. 
  2. You can create your own majority with the right approach.
  3. Competence matters.
  4. You don’t necessarily have to move to the center to win over independents. 
  5. You can redraw the political map without pandering.
  6. Create a culture where wokeness cannot thrive.
  7. Deliver a policy-driven approach that works.
  8. Court the moms (with education ideas)

You can read the details about the others at the link but two in particular jumped out at me:

4. You don’t necessarily have to move to the center to win over independents. 
Republicans may have a nearly 300,000 voter advantage in the state, but DeSantis won by more than 1.5 million votes. The ordinary school of thought is that politicians must tack to the center to win independents. DeSantis never did. Instead, he crafted a bold, unapologetically conservative agenda and traveled around the state tirelessly promoting it. As Ronald Reagan proved, you can build a broad coalition with a conservative platform, but you have to be an effective communicator and a great salesman. DeSantis has been both.

5. You can redraw the political map without pandering.
DeSantis scored a double-digit win in Miami-Dade County, which is 70 percent Hispanic—“rewriting the political map,” as he put it, without the kind of ethnic pandering that strategists have claimed is necessary to win the Hispanic vote. Hispanics generally have the same priorities as other Americans, and most reject woke ideology. For years, these same strategists have insisted that Republicans need to embrace amnesty for illegal immigrants and soft immigration enforcement to win the Latino vote. But the polls refute this advice. In fact, according to a recent Telemundo poll, Latino immigrants backed DeSantis’s migrant transfer to Martha’s Vineyard even more strongly than U.S.-born Hispanics.

Also this, which admittedly goes against the grain of a non-collectivist political party:

I’ve worked productively with politicians of all stripes. Democrat politicians are as individualistic as their Republican counterparts. But their party discipline is to spout the party line first and then add their individualism as a modifier in their presentation. Republicans present their individualism first and, quite honestly, don’t have a coordinated party line to offer to the public. You’re not going to get large numbers of uncommitted votes to come your way with that kind of packaging.

The following is perhaps not a lesson that the GOP can learn from, which is the overwhelming Democrat lean of AWFL’s, Affluent White Female Liberals, who went for the Democrats by 68% to 31%. The reason there may be no lesson for the GOP or the Democrats here (despite the latter’s glee at this result) is that it portends that A sex war is coming:

The AWFL demographic, relatively underrepresented in the Senate, is overrepresented across media, journalism, nonprofits, HR departments, academia, and school teachers…. And those progressive graduate women who aren’t busy shaping public morals via nonprofits and HR departments are busy doing so for the next generation in schools: 76% of American teachers are women. Inevitably, given that all US states require teachers to hold at least a bachelor’s degree, these are also uniformly drawn from the female demographic most likely to be very liberal.

Amazingly, despite this, Gen-Z did not go heavily for the Democrats as was reported; it turns out that’s yet another standard crap argument that the MSM trotted out because the eternal cry of the Left is that “The Youf Are With Us”:

[T]here was no youthquake. The media has had this narrative coming out that there was this giant army of young Gen Z people voting Democrat — didn’t happen at all. They did vote Democrat, but they came out at a smaller level than they did in 2018, and they actually voted more Republican. The data shows it. 

Back to the chicks!

For knowledge-class progressive women, though, a still more central issue where tech and their interests converge is in the core material obstacle to workplace equality: the female reproductive role, including gestation, childbirth and breastfeeding. For the so-called “gender pay gap” is, in truth, a motherhood pay gap. Thus, for a chance to compete in the knowledge workplace on the same terms as men, women’s bodies also need tech support. So such women are structurally dependent on medical interventions to keep their bodies free from the rigours and long-term obligations of pregnancy, childbirth and dependent children. In other words: for AWFLs overall, abortion really is an existential issue.

So the abortion ploy of the Democrats worked – this time.

For now, the coalition between Clinton feminism, Virtual class interests, and the American electorate seems to be holding up, albeit with some creaking. But for how long? For “progress”, understood as the march of technology, has losers as well as winners. And when “progress” is routinely conflated with “feminism”, you can expect groups who aren’t doing so well under its auspices to take this at face value too – and blame feminists for their suffering.

I can see no possible direction for this to take save a backlash that will likely spill far beyond the class at whom it’s really directed.

Nobody can be a winner forever – and the class war she worries will hurt her feminism is already well underway, judging by the increasingly nasty fate of boys and men in our education systems and workforce, which is already hurting none other than AWFL’s themselves.

Finally there is the machinery of voting where the GOP’s continued focus on Election Day is enabling losses in close races. But that’s for a separate post.

Bugger the pollsters

with 21 comments

I wasn’t living in NZ when Jim Bolger uttered that now famous phrase, but it’s one for the ages, as polls told him that he would win the 1993 General election comfortably – though obviously losing seats after the 1990 landslide victory – only to see a massive swing to Labour that came within a millimetre of winning it for them

It left National and Bolger hanging on by their fingernails and it took some very clever backroom politics to see another National government formed.

In the US the GOP will certainly be having those thoughts today after a mediocre red trickle leaked across the country rather than the red tsunami they were expecting.

In only one place did that tsunami roar on to land and that was in Florida early in the evening, where Governor DeSantis not only had a massive win over an admittedly hopeless Democrat candidate in the execerable turncoat Charlie Crist, but saw him win the previous Democrat stronghold of Maimi-Dade county, where Biden had won in 2020 and Hillary had crushed Trump in 2016. But the GOP succeeded all across the state, flipping numerous seats from D to R.

And then it collapsed.

It can hardly be called a disaster when you take over the House, and still have a chance to win the Senate, something that won’t be decided now until the runoff election occurs in Georgia, where election laws demand a Senate winner get more than 50% of the vote; both Warnock(D) and Walker (R) failed to do that.

But given the economic and political environment the GOP should have done much better – and they expected too. The GOP wave elections of 1994 and 2010 did not have so many positives for the GOP to seize on as this election.

A President that’s very low in the polls, with no enthusiasm for him, with myriad, serious economic problems hitting ordinary people in the form of inflation, especially on food and gas, an uncertain international situation, massive fights occurring in schools at the grassroots level, and ever increasing levels of violent crime, especially in the Blue cities, plus the hangover issues of how the C-19 pandemic was handled by Democrat governors

If you can’t win with all this in your sails when can you? Of course to ask that question is to ignore previous elections where the GOP won while facing headwinds.

It should have been a blowout, and certainly both Democrats and Republicans were prepping for such. Instead it was a mixed bag, with Democrats flipping seats in the already One Party state of California to match the GOP Florida flips. A very notable loss was in New York where none other than the head of the DCCC, (Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee) lost his House seat. It’s been decades since that happened.

But aside from some highlights why wasn’t this a Red Tsunami? I’ll throw out a number of issues, starting with numero uno:

  • Trump:
    The combination of his inability to stay quiet in the background plus the Democrats desperate efforts to put him front and centre, worked to a certain degree. Notably it didn’t work in Florida because DeSantis is the Big Dog there. But it did work in a lot of other places, especially where Trump-endorsed candidates had won the GOP primaries against people who may have been better suited for their states. Trump loves celebrities. He’s also poison to a large chunk of the American electorate and you only get to face an even more loathed candidate like Hillary once in a lifetime.
  • C-19 Lockdowns:
    In many cases – but especially in Minnesota and Michigan – the GOP candidates could not really go after their opponent’s heavy handedness over lockdowns because they were either backed by Trump, who acquiesced in such things by letting Fauci and Birx have their head, or because they’d been pretty squishy on the subjects themselves. Sure, you can fight an election by effectively agreeing with your opponent to take an issue off the table, but it can also rob you of a powerful weapon. Given the damage to education and business resulting from C-19 measures, both Waltz (Minnesota) and Whitmar (Michigan) should have lost.
  • Candidate quality matters
    Some candidates, particularly some backed by Trump, were just not very good. The prime example would be Dr Oz in Pennsylvania, where he lost to Fetterman – a guy who is not only obviously brain-damaged from his stroke (as millions discovered when they watched the debate between the two) but is also a total fake on the “working class” angle, given his wealthy parents supported him into his forties, since when he’s been a permanent politician. But Oz was seen as another fake: a slick, clever man who did not fit with Pennsylvania’s self-image. Tellingly he ran behind Trump’s 2020 numbers in several Republican-leaning counties. Of course if you are going to bang this drum you have to acknowledge that Fetterman, while being the worst, was not the only low-quality Democrat candidate who won.
  • Mail-in voting
    This has grown tremendously over the last decade, pushed by a Democrat Party who have realised the old truth of Left-wing parties everywhere: that their voters have a tough time getting to the polls on election day. In olden times the Democrats invested a lot of money in election-day GOTV efforts. No more: the focus is now on mail-in voting weeks before election day. Aside from the possibilities for fraud that are created if the process is not tightly controlled, mail-in voting also enables a lot of voter decisions to made before the election campaigns really get underway. In the case of Fetterman, tens of thousands of votes had already been cast before he finally had his debate with Oz. How many of those voters may have regretted voting for him once they saw his terrible mental condition?

    The same thing applies for abortion, which did not show up in polls after the white heat of mid-Summer, following the Dodd decision. But back in September it was still an issue and millions of men and woman may have voted early on that basis. By the time the grim economic news caught up with them to become their top priorities it was too late.

    Such voting has always been a part of elections, it certainly is here in NZ where it is regarded as an exception. In many US States it’s becoming the rule and the Democrats love it. If the GOP don’t return it to being the exception it was, and should be, then they’re either going to have start playing the mail-in game harder or look forward to more last-second losses at midnight on election day. One of the reasons for DeSantis’s huge win was that Florida has taken vote fraud seriously because of what happened in 2018 when Broward, Palm Beach, and Miami-Dade counties tried to steal the elections the week after Election Day. The same is true of Ohio – they don’t let the big cities mail out ballots willy nilly.

There are also some outstanding questions about this election that will only be answered slowly as people dig into the data, and the pollsters will be frantic to do so in finding out why they got it so wrong.

Certainly the rule of thumb that had stood for several election cycles – that the polls always undercount the GOP vote – proved not to be true in most places. Those polls that showed the Democrats as being competitive in the last week were largely dismissed (certainly by me) as being desperate influencer polls, but they turned out to not be as far from the truth of the election as expected. It’s going to be interesting to see which polls now go up (and down) the accuracy rankings.

The ever-growing problem of landlines being substituted for cell phones continues to grow as Gen Z mature to voting age. I’ve not seen any pollster who has solved that problem, and while exit polls are untrustworthy the following should get the GOP’s attention;

CNN Exit poll showed:

GOP +13 for age 65 and older
GOP +11 for age 45-64
Dem +2 for age 30-44
Dem +28 for age 18 to 29 (Generation Z, my kids)

Sure, it’s an exit poll – and it’s from CNN – so adjust for lots of bullshit.

So where does this leave the Democrats and the GOP? Both have problems in the near future.

The Democrat’s immediate problems being what to do with Biden (who will be taking these results as approval) and the economic problems of inflation, energy costs, and interest rates that are not getting better. Even with a GOP House and Senate, voters still hold the President responsible. As far as violent crime goes that’s a problem at State and City level, it is also growing worse, and although the likes of Governor Horchul and company escaped this time it won’t go away – and they have no answers to it that won’t piss off their progressive base.

For the GOP, although they have other longer term problems too (see Gen Z above), plus this:

Thirty seven point difference? The Democrat Party has become the Husband of Last Resort for Unmarriageable Women, and I don’t know what appeals the GOP could possibly make to them that would not burn off the voters they have now. Probably better to focus on peeling away from the Democrats unmarried men as well married men and woman – a process the Democrats are doing by themselves.

But for the GOP there’s just one question for the immediate future : what to do about Trump in 2024?

Written by Tom Hunter

November 10, 2022 at 8:02 am