New Zealand could be facing 50,000 daily Omicron infections by Waitangi weekend, according to modelling by a highly-respected, overseas health research organisation, peaking at about 80,000 each day just a few weeks later.
It gets worse, the “predictions” that is:
The Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation (IHME) projections, updated last Thursday, predict an outbreak in New Zealand lasting about three months, with death rates projected to total more than 400 by 1 May. Daily fatalities are predicted to spike at about 10 through mid March.
These are of course predictions and should be viewed as such, however they have been given credence by New Zealand’s leading experts including University of Otago professors Nick Wilson and Michael Baker: “Our impression is that this work is of high quality and should be considered by NZ policy-makers … [it’s] an organisation with a very strong track record for analysing health data (with some of the best epidemiologists, health data scientists and computer scientists in the world).”
These “modellers” obviously never spoke with the expert who said this less than a month ago:
Blakely said Omicron was “way less severe” thereby reducing the number of people that died or had to go to hospital.
“Omicron is less dangerous than Delta … we’re talking somewhere between 1-5 per cent of the mortality risk of a Delta infection.”
Yesterday New Zealand reported 209 cases.
All of this is the result of “science” and “medicine” being politicised. I’ll never believe any of them ever again.
Well said Nick K, a cow with the scours delivers a very thin watery green effluent and that resembles the ongoing stream of bullshit the voters are being exposed to as the unravelling continues.
When was the first NZ Omicron red light warning of many deaths? Weeks or months ago? The virtually guaranteed huge predicted outbreak in Corromandel?
Meanwhile my 8 yo Grand daughter suffers a mask at school for what? Nothing.
209 is a reflection of low test numbers, I suspect there is a quiet revolution where many cannot be arsed to get tested simply for the sniffles, especially given the social and economic impact of a positive result.
Our niece in Sydney aged about 23 has Omicron – her mother told us last week she has had far worse colds.